BALTIMORE ORIOLES @ TAMPA BAY RAYS
Baseball : United States : MLB Regular Season
Friday, August 13th 2010 - Start 7:10PM ET
(12:10AM GMT)

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BALTIMORE ORIOLES
(40-75 W/L, 16-41 Road, 8-2 Last 10, L1 Streak)

The Orioles are suddenly on fire and will continue their road trip in Florida. Baltimore will send Jeremy Guthrie to the mound, and the man has a 6-11 record with a 4.04 ERA in 23 starts this season.

On the road, Guthrie has just 1 win in 11 starts and the right-handed hurler is just 2-7 with a 4.52ERA in 11 starts against the Rays over his career.

Guthrie faced the Rays on 2 occasions in April, giving up 6 runs and 16 hits in 13.3 innings. In the past, he's been smashed about by the likes of Crawford, Upton, Zobrist, Brignac, Aybar and Joyce and I can see them having similar success here tonight on their home ground.

With the visiting bullpen sporting an unimpressive road ERA of 4.50 the chances are Tampa will have a good chance to put up a fair few runs tonight.

TAMPA BAY RAYS
69-45 W/L, 34-23 Home, 4-6 Last 10, L1 Streak)

Tampa Bay send James Shields to the mound. He is 2-1 with a 5.00 ERA in his last 3 starts, giving up 10 runs and 22 hits over his last 18 innings pitched. The right-handed pitcher recently had a shocker in Toronto, surrendering 8 runs and 9 hits in 4 innings of work.

Shields has also faced his opponents on 2 occasions, giving up 7 runs and 17 hits in 12.3 innings. Jones, Markakis, Wigginton, Wieters and Scott have all hit Shields about in the past and look good value to continue tonight, as they enjoy spending their 2nd half wrecking other teams season.

As a team, Baltimore is hitting over .300 in their last 8 games, so they're in the kind of form you want on your side.

BETTING VERDICT

Tampa Bay is averaging 4.9 runs per game over their last 7 games. And Baltimore are scoring for fun too as they play with nothing to lose.

Take the Over run total.

The Pick :

Over 8.5 runs!

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take the Over 8.5 runs @ 1.95 (Pinnacle) - MAIN BET