Thor Akureyri vs Grindavik football Betting Pick

Gambling advice by Cornholio covering the Icelandic Football match Thor Akureyri vs Grindavik.

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Cornholio's Recommended Bet :

Main bet : Take Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 (Bet365) Side bet : Try the AH +0,5 on Grindavik @ 1.7 (Bet365)

Icelandic Football

2011-08-28 - Thor Akureyri vs Grindavik

A Sports Betting Pick by Cornholio

Thor Akureyri vs Grindavik
Football : Icelandic top league - Round 17
Sunday August 28 2011, Kickoff 17:00 (GMT)



This is a battle between two sides who are in the lowest part of the table. With so few rounds left every mistake down there can come close to being fatal. Grindavik will be up to a great challenge meeting Thor on their very strong home field in Akureyri.

Thor Akureyri (9th)


Thor’s first season in the top league in years has been more than acceptable. Sitting in 9th place with 17 points and an overall record of 5-2-9, 22:32, one more win would certainly secure their spot in the league next year.

However, after three home wins in a row, Thor lost the next four games, three in the league along with the cup final. They have been critisised a lot for not having any ambition of doing anything more than securing their spot in the league and doing so by getting good results at home but almost not showing up in the away games.

They seem to rest many of their key players when travelling and for instance their manager was abroad in the last round when his team visited FH Hafnarfjordur while one key player was suddenly on trial also abroad. People are saying that they are showing disrespect with this behaviour.

On the other hand, it’s hard to be very unhappy with Thor’s action and maybe these tactics are simply brilliant. After all they are 4 1 3 at home, a record that has kept them away from the relegation spots. However, their terrible away record of 1 1 6 has meant that they can be quite happy that teams like Vikingur and Fram have been so bad this season since they are eight and six points behind Thor respectively.

But, while losing three in a row, Fram haven’t lost in last three, gaining five points and thereby cutting Thor’s lead down to only six points. That might seem a lot with just six rounds to play but it means Thor can’t really afford to make many mistakes if Fram manage to keep their run going.

Thor’s main problem all season, along with their away record, has been their terrible defense. Conceding in all but two games their opponents have netted a total of 32 goals against them, the most in the league. However, Thor have had it pretty easy in scoring goals and have netted 22 of them. For example, IBV who are in the 2nd place have only scored four more goals. Thor is especially strong in set play and their opponents must be aware of that.

Their gameplay tends to be very physical and they normally let the opponent control the game counting on the counter attack and the set play; free-kicks and corners. But against Grindavik they might have to change their tactics since Grindavik aren’t really good enough to control the game and keep the ball.

Thor have scored 14 of their 22 goals at home and conceded 11 of the 32 goals. This shows even further how much stronger they are at home than on the road. Thor should have a great chance against Grindavik’s poor defense to get their scoring up again since they have only scored two goals in last three games. A win for Thor would be very important, pretty much securing them away from the drop zone, and also because they have a very tough game coming up when they visit 2nd placed IBV Vestamannaeyjar.

Grindavik (10th)


Once again Grindavik’s season have been down around the relegation zone and my personal opinion is that they should relegate because this is getting boring. But what I think doesn’t matter and the fact that Grindavik is currently in 10th place with 17 points, same as Thor, means that their position against the two lowest placed teams, Vikingur and Fram, is the same as for Thor.

Grindavik’s overall record is 4 5 7, 19:29, and the number of draws have really kept them going and a bit away from the two relegation spots. The main difference between Grindavik and Thor is that the former really don’t seem to care whether thay play at home or away and their home field isn’t good for them at all. This can be seen for example by the fact that the audience on their home games is very small and there doesn’t seem to be any spirits at all in their own home town.

It’s even possible to say that Grindavik are a little bit better on the road than they are at home and that’s pretty similar to recent seasons. At home they are 2 2 4, 8:13, while being 2 3 3, 11:16, on the road. Not much of a difference but their acceptable form away has helped them in the battle of staying away from the bottom.

Unlike Thor Grindavik have been on a decent run and haven’t lost in last four games and losing only one of last seven. They made a strong draw visiting Valur back in round 13, then drew at home against the current champions, Breidablik. Then they beat their neighbours in Keflavik on the road but then made a terribly boring scoreless draw at home against Vikingur.

Like Thor, Grindavik have a weak defense and the total of 29 conceded goals is the second most in the league with only the former Thor conceding more. Grindavik have managed to to keep three clean sheets thereof only once away, against a poor Vikingur side.

Similar to Thor Grindavik would be in a very comfortable position if they manage a win but they should be happy with the draw on a difficult away field. They should be able to create some chances against the weakest defense in the league.

Head to head


Thor won here 2-1 after extra time in the cup earlier this season but lost 4-1 at Grindavik. Last year Grindavik won 2-1 at home in the cup.

The Betting Verdict


I would be careful in going for Thor to win here. They haven’t been good lately while Grindavik are on a decent run and tend to get good results on the road.

Another important factor is that both teams will be very scared to lose the game and could easily be happy with the draw, especially Grindavik.

I will favor Thor simply because their homeground has been strong for them. Over 2.5 looks interesting since Thor have played 12 games going over including 7 of their 8 home games.

BEST BETTING TIP :

Main bet :
Take Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 (Bet365)

Side bet :
Try the AH +0,5 on Grindavik @ 1.7 (Bet365)


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  Thor Akureyri vs Grindavik Match Report :

FINAL :

Thor Akureyri
0-0
Grindavik


See match Report



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