Romanian League
2011-09-26 - Gaz Metan Medias vs FCM Targu Mures
A Sports Betting Pick by ROzsolt
Football: Romanian Liga 1
Venue: "Gaz Metan", Medias
Monday 26th September - Kickoff time: 21:30 GMT+2
Gaz Metan Medias (11th W-3 D-0 L-4)
Gaz Metan is probably the most inconsistent team from the Romanian league, they were humiliated by Dinamo at home in the first round (0-5), but they went on and eliminated Mainz 05 in the Europa League, then travelled to Cluj to face CFR and beat them to nil, a result that not many teams can get there.
In the last 4 matches they won their home games and lost the ones played on the road, so if football were math, then Gaz Metan should be the winning side today. Of course, it actually is the most likely result, Gaz Metan on their previous home game caused Steaua Bucuresti their most severe defeat this season (3-0).
Striker Cristi Bud (on-loan from CFR) proved that he still has what it takes to be an excellent striker and had a major contribution to the victory against Steaua, scoring two goals. Bud and Bawab are Gaz Metan’s key man in front, they will have the job of avoiding another goalless draw as it happened in their previous match against Targu Mures.
Gaz Metan’s home results:
10.09.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 6 Gaz Metan Medias 3 - 0 Steaua
22.08.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 4 Gaz Metan Medias 3 - 0 Vointa Sibiu
31.07.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 2 Gaz Metan Medias 0 - 5 Dinamo
FCM Targu Mures (16th W-1 D-3 L-3)
FCM progressed to the next round of the Romanian cup (so did Gaz Metan), despite stating that they are not interested in this competition, but neither were their opponents Viitorul Constanta, so the match had to be decided eventually and it finished 1-0 for Targu Mures.
Despite transferring some experienced players in the summer, FCM is struggling at the moment, they are only 16th and among the 4 teams that only won one game this season.
FCM has some strikers with decent CV’s like Subotic or Cavalli who has many games in Seria A and Serie B, but the one that saved them one points in the dying minutes against Universitatea Cluj was Sergiu Bus, an 18 years old striker on-loan from CFR Cluj.
FCM’s away results:
28.08.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 5 Steaua 2 - 0 FCM Târgu-Mureş
15.08.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 3 Vointa Sibiu 1 - 1 FCM Târgu-Mureş
22.07.2011 Liga 1 Etapa 1 Dinamo 1 - 0 FCM Târgu-Mureş
The betting verdict
There are 5-6 teams in Liga 1 that are should not be in here, they cannot compete at a decent level, but that is mainly because we have a poor second league, which cannot produce quality teams. If they continue to play like they did so far, Targu Mures could very well relegate at the end of the season, but looking at their squad I have to think that they will find their rhythm at a point and start winning some games.
Gaz Metan showed great strength at home against Steaua Bucuresti, so we are not likely to see an upset here given their opponents poor form, but FCM does have the quality to score in this match at least once. The odds for more than 2 goals are ridiculously high, a 2-1 home victory actually seems like the most likely result and let’s not forget that every match played by Gaz Metan at home finished with at least 3 goals scored, even though only one team did all the job.
The Pick :
Gaz Metan Medias 2-1 FCM Targu Mures
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Gaz Metan to win at 1.80 InterwettenConfidence: 7/10
Take Over 2.5 goals to be scored at 2.59 Pinnacle
Confidence: 5/10 (Main Bet)
