Club World Cup
2025-06-23 - Inter Miami vs Palmeiras
A Sports Betting Pick by SharpEdge
Football: FIFA Club World Cup – Group A
Monday, 23 June 2025 – Kickoff 9:00 p.m. ET,
Venue : Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
Introduction:
Group A closes with a high-profile clash in Miami — Inter Miami, boosted by Lionel Messi and home support, face Brazilian powerhouse Palmeiras in a match that could decide top spot.
But there's a twist: both clubs enter on 4 points from two games. With Porto and Al Ahly stuck at 1 point apiece, a draw guarantees progression for both Miami and Palmeiras.
So the question is — how ambitious will either side be?
Inter Miami
After a cagey 1-1 draw with Porto and a gutsy 2-1 win over Al Ahly, Inter Miami have shown resilience, even when not dominant in possession.
Messi has been the creative heart, but the supporting cast — including Josef Martínez and Diego Gómez — have worked tirelessly.
Fitness is a factor. Miami have had to grind in Florida humidity, and manager Tata Martino may well prioritise energy conservation and risk management over chasing top spot.
Palmeiras
Palmeiras enter the final group game having edged past Al Ahly and drawn with Porto. Their shape has remained tactically solid, with Endrick offering sparks up front and Raphael Veiga keeping rhythm in midfield.
Coach Abel Ferreira is pragmatic. A draw ensures qualification, and though Palmeiras are likely the better side technically, they won't want to overextend in Group A's final fixture. Expect control, not chaos.
Past Meetings
This is the first ever meeting between Inter Miami and Palmeiras.
Brazilian sides have historically performed well in Club World Cup fixtures on U.S. soil, though MLS clubs tend to play better with home conditions and crowd support — especially when Messi is on the pitch.
The Betting Verdict
Bookmakers are clearly pricing this as a potential “gentleman’s draw”: Draw @ 2.42 implies a 41% chance — unusually high in this context.
That’s not just a number: it reflects the real mutual incentive both teams face. A point guarantees both advance. The heat, fatigue, and lack of pressure to win will likely flatten attacking ambition.
The totals and BTTS markets back this logic:
• Under 2.5 goals is just 1.44
• BTTS: No is 1.70 — suggesting this could even drift to a goalless or cautious 1-1 outcome
This is a classic tournament spot for a draw. A half-paced second half wouldn’t surprise, especially if the score is level at 60 minutes.
The Pick :
Inter Miami 1 - 1 Palmeiras
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Back the Draw at 2.42 with Bet365
