Italian Serie A
2025-11-08 - Juventus vs Torino
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 11
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Saturday, 11 November 2025, 18:00 CET
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Juventus Team News
The story of Serie A this month is the apppointment of Luciano Spalletti as the head coach of Juventus, and the resurgence of this side that is deemed to be related with the coaching change. Juventus won against Udinese and against Cremonese - conceding against both sides - and all of a sudden there's hype surrounding the Bianconeri.
Juventus should be winning such matches with ease and no hype should come from winning them, but it only goes to show in what poor condition this side was before Spalletti took over.
In the Champions League in midweek, Juventus conceded again, to Sporting Lisabon, and only managed a 1-1 draw despite being installed as a 1.90 favourite and allowing an xG of 0.21. Still the ball managed to go in as it always seems to.
The last time Juventus kept a clean sheet was in the 0-0 draw against AC Milan, when Pulisic missed a penalty kick.
Torino Team News
Torino, without Ivan Juric, is doing better than Atalanta is - with Ivan Juric at the helm. They're both at 13 points but in Atalanta's case that's a huge underperformance.
Torino is currently in a five-game undefeated streak that also includes a 3-3 at Lazio and a 1-0 home win over Napoli. This is incredible work by coach Baroni and it seems this side is more suited to playing against favourites than being a favourite.
Torino only managed a 2-2 home draw against Pisa, after being 0-2 down early.
This side is far from perfect, as the current roster can't guarantee stable performances and results week after week, but this is one tricky side to play against.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio - Gatti, Rugani, Kelly - Kalulu, Locatelli, Thuram, Cambiaso - Conceicao, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Spalletti.
Torino (3-5-2): Paleari - Ismajli, Maripan, Coco - Pedersen, Casadei, Ilic, Vlasic, Lazaro - Simeone, Ngonge. Coach Baroni.
The Betting Market
Juventus is favoured, of course, but we thought the price will be even lower than the 1.50 we're getting here. Last season it was 1.57, and the season before a whopping 2.05. Juventus won both matches cleanly, 2-0.
Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 2.05, with 1.80 for the Under, and it makes sense to bet on the latter as Torino has few options other than to play defensively and wait for the break here. Under 2.5 Goals is certainly appealing if you want to leave the winner market alone.
At the same time, the bookmakers don't expect Torino to score at all, as indicated by the price of 1.67 on Both Teams To Score: NO, which would mean that it makes even more sense to bet on the Under for 1.80. Obviously, the Over is only expected to come if Juventus scores three. And Juventus doesn't do that.
The Betting Verdict
Juventus is always favoured in this fixture regardless of current form, and now their current form happens to be at a reasonably high level, with an upward trend.
This is why we'd advise just about everyone to bet on Juventus to win at 1.50 and not overcomplicate things - as foolish as betting on Juventus in general is. Their propensity to always concede a goal is particularly worrying.
Yes there's a somewhat justified hype around Juventus at this moment. And Juventus will likely win this without any drama. However, all the value is in that Under so that will be our official bet for the Turin derby.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Juventus 1-0 Torino
