Real Madrid vs Real Betis football Betting Pick

Gambling advice by Gladiator covering the Spanish La Liga match Real Madrid vs Real Betis.

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Gladiator's Recommended Bet :

Take Real Madrid to Win at odds of 1.51 with Bet365


Place the bet at Bet365 Now!

Spanish La Liga

2026-01-04 - Real Madrid vs Real Betis

A Sports Betting Pick by Gladiator

Real Madrid vs Real Betis
Football: Spanish La Liga - Round 18
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid), Spain
Sunday, 4th January 2026 - Kick Off 16:15 CET

Real Madrid


Real Madrid kick off 2026 knowing there’s little margin for error if they’re to keep pressure on league leaders Barcelona. Xabi Alonso’s side closed out 2025 with back-to-back league wins, yet still find themselves four points adrift at the summit.

Despite the scrutiny that inevitably follows any Madrid coach, Alonso has overseen just one league defeat across the last 11 rounds, underlining a level of consistency even if performances haven’t always convinced.

The Bernabéu remains central to Madrid’s title hopes. A solid 2-0 win over Sevilla before Christmas steadied the ship after a rare pair of home defeats, and Los Blancos have generally been ruthless when taking the lead, winning every league match this season in which they’ve scored first.

Injuries are a concern, particularly at the back and with Kylian Mbappé sidelined, but Madrid still possesses enough depth and control to grind out results in tight contests like this one.

Betis


Betis arrive in the capital in a buoyant mood after ending 2025 with a dominant 4-0 victory over Getafe. That result kept them firmly inside the top six and reinforced their credentials as genuine European contenders.

Manuel Pellegrini’s side have lost just once in their last seven league outings, pairing defensive solidity with a growing confidence in attack.

Perhaps most impressively, Betis boast La Liga’s only unbeaten away record this season. However, that resilience has come with vulnerability, as they’ve conceded early goals more often than any other side, a worrying trend against an opponent as clinical as Madrid.

The absence of Isco also robs them of creativity and composure in possession, meaning they may be forced into a more reactive approach at the Bernabéu.

The Betting Verdict


This shapes up as a competitive and tactical battle rather than a free-flowing spectacle. Betis’ away resilience should keep them in the game, but Madrid’s ability to control tempo at home and convert narrow leads into victories gives them the edge.

Even with key absentees, Los Blancos have shown they can manage games effectively, especially when scoring first, and that may prove decisive once again. A tight home win looks the most likely outcome.

The Statistics :

REAL_MADRID LAST SIX HOME FORM
Real_Madrid betting tip
DATE   RESULT   OPPOSITION
2025-12-20  W 2-0   H v Sevilla  
2025-12-07  L 0-2   H v Celta_Vigo  
2025-11-01  W 4-0   H v Valencia  
2025-10-26  W 2-1   H v Barcelona  
2025-10-04  W 3-1   H v Villarreal  
2025-09-20  W 2-0   H v Espanyol  

REAL_BETIS LAST SIX AWAY FORM
Real_Betis betting tip
DATE   RESULT   OPPOSITION
2025-12-15  D 0-0   A v Vallecano  
2025-11-30  W 0-2   A v Sevilla  
2025-11-09  D 1-1   A v Valencia  
2025-10-18  D 2-2   A v Villarreal  
2025-10-05  W 1-2   A v Espanyol  
2025-09-14  D 2-2   A v Levante  

HEAD TO HEAD REAL_MADRID v REAL_BETIS
DATE   HOME SCORE   AWAY
2024-09-01    Real_Madrid   2-0   Real_Betis  
2024-05-25    Real_Madrid   0-0   Real_Betis  
2022-09-03    Real_Madrid   2-1   Real_Betis  
2022-05-20    Real_Madrid   0-0   Real_Betis  
2021-04-24    Real_Madrid   0-0   Real_Betis  
2019-11-02    Real_Madrid   0-0   Real_Betis  

The Pick :

Real Madrid 1-0 Real Betis

BEST BETTING TIP :

Take Real Madrid to Win at odds of 1.51 with Bet365
Another winning bet
Place the tipsters bet at Bet365 Now!

Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
When I first looked at this game in midweek the price on a Real Madrid win was a stupid 1.38 it's now risen to around 1.50 which is what I might expect bookies to offer on a big home side with approx. 63% chance of winning.

Sure, Real Madrid are REAL MADRID, and at home they are 7-0-1 so far this season, so I get why they are backed to tiny prices buy the general public.

But Real Betis are not a bad side, they sit 6th in La Liga, have an unbeaten 2-6-0 away record (yes - SIX draws), and they deserve some credit for what they've achieved.

Throw in Real Madrid's injury crisis (mentioned in the preview above) and the price of 5.00 for the draw looked pretty tasty. Those prices are gone now - 4.75 is still available - but it's only fair value.

I think we missed the good odds here so unless the draw prices bump up again it will have to be a NO BET here for me.


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