German Bundesliga

2026-01-10 - Heidenheim vs Koln

A Sports Betting Pick by Niko

Heidenheim v Koln
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Voith Arena – Heidenheim
Saturday, 10th January 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET

Heidenheim

Second-from-the-bottom Heidenheim has a very difficult task ahead. Bundesliga survival is a top priority, and they would make a big first step by beating Koln, who are five points above them.

Heidenheim lost four of their last six games, with all six matches ending with three or more goals scored.

When we look at the big picture, there are some signs that they are moving into good direction. They picked up 11 points from the last 11 games, which is still too few, but not the worst.

The first thing they must improve is scoring – only 13 goals in 15 games makes Heidenheim currently the worst attacking side in the Bundesliga.

Koln

Koln finished last year as a team with the worst form in the Bundesliga – winless in six straight, losing four times. They are also winless in four road games, losing three times, and they do not look that big of a favorites to me here.

Unlike Heidenheim’s high-scoring matches, Koln’s recent games were all tight, with under 2.5 goals landing in their last four games.

The Betting Verdict

This is a game with a strong potential for upset. Heidenheim is very motivated to escape automatic relegation spots; they showed good recent displays, while Koln were terrible last month.

I believe the odds for the home win are pretty valuable, so let’s go with Heidenheim to win the match.

The Statistics :

HEIDENHEIM LAST SIX HOME FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2025-12-21	L	0-4	H v Bayern_Munich
	2025-12-06	W	2-1	H v Freiburg
	2025-11-22	L	0-3	H v Monchengladbach
	2025-11-01	D	1-1	H v Eintracht_F
	2025-10-18	D	2-2	H v Bremen
	2025-09-27	W	2-1	H v Augsberg

COLOGNE LAST SIX AWAY FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2025-12-13	L	2-0	A v Leverkusen
	2025-11-29	D	1-1	A v Bremen
	2025-11-08	L	3-1	A v Monchengladbach
	2025-10-25	L	1-0	A v Dortmund
	2025-10-03	W	0-1	A v Hoffenheim
	2025-09-20	L	3-1	A v RB_Leipzig

HEAD TO HEAD HEIDENHEIM v COLOGNE
DATE	HOME	SCORE	AWAY
2024-05-18	Heidenheim	4-1	Cologne

The Pick :

Heidenheim 1-0 Koln

BEST BETTING TIP :

Take Heidenheim to win at odds of 3.00 with BetFred

Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet

Heidenheim (17th) are 2-2-4 at home, while Cologne (11th) are also 2-2-4 away from home and are not really showing much to be favourites.

This one is less of a sure thing - when you are betting on a team that is 17th in an 18-team league you've gotta expect that - but my instinct and stats say Heidenheim have a chance of winning here.

My sheet does have Cologne as the stronger team - about 49 pts or half a goal - but with home ground and fan advantage very important in the Bundesliga that still leaves the likely results grid looking HW 45%, Dr 20%, AW 35%.

So a bet on Heidenheim is the +EV play, with best prices of 2.90 at Bet365, 2.91 at CLoudbet or +195 with Bookmaker.EU

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