German Bundesliga
2026-01-10 - Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Bay Arena – Leverkusen
Saturday, 10th January 2026 - kickoff 18:30 CET
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen head into the restart knowing consistency has been the main thing holding them back from a genuine title push.
Performances have been sharp at the BayArena, but dropped points in some games before the winter break stopped them from fully capitalising on Bayern Munich’s dominance.
At home, they remain a difficult side to face thanks to their aggressive pressing. They won four of their last five in their stadium.
The break should help them reset mentally after a mixed run of results, and playing the opening top-flight match of the new year gives them a good chance to set the tone early.
Bayer Leverkusen generally come out strong after pauses, and the familiarity of home surroundings could be key against a VfB Stuttgart side that thrives when games become chaotic.
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart arrive in good spirits after edging Luzern 3-2 in their only winter friendly, but the real boost was the return of Ermedin Demirović. Having him back available after a long injury absence adds a different dimension up front, particularly in transition, where VfB Stuttgart are at their most dangerous.
Sebastian Hoeness’ side have been at their best this season when playing with freedom rather than control, and they won’t shy away from taking risks here.
Away from home, VfB Stuttgart have tended to play on instinct rather than structure, which often produces goals at both ends. That approach suits fixtures against teams like Bayer Leverkusen, where neither side is comfortable sitting deep for long spells.
The Betting Verdict
This has all the ingredients of an open, fast-paced game. Bayer Leverkusen’s home intensity should create chances, but VfB Stuttgart’s attacking threat — especially with Demirović back — makes it hard to see a clean sheet either way.
Goals look the safest angle, with both teams capable of hurting each other in a match that could swing several times.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take both teams to score: YES at odds of 1.50 with Bet365
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Bayer Leverkusen (3rd) face VfB Stuttgart (6th) and I cannot believe that we can get better than even money on the home side.
Leverkusen have a good 5-1-2 18:6 home record, have won 4 out of their last 5 at home, and have won this specific fixture 4 times in the last 6 - basically all solid green lights for a 2.00+ bet.
My stats have Leverkusen as 69 pts stronger and estimates a 66% home win chance - albeit on a small game data sample of just 32 games but it's a useful lean.
I'm on Leverkusen to win at 2.05 at Bet365, 2.06 at CLoudbet or +105 at Bovada
Leverkusen have a good 5-1-2 18:6 home record, have won 4 out of their last 5 at home, and have won this specific fixture 4 times in the last 6 - basically all solid green lights for a 2.00+ bet.
My stats have Leverkusen as 69 pts stronger and estimates a 66% home win chance - albeit on a small game data sample of just 32 games but it's a useful lean.
I'm on Leverkusen to win at 2.05 at Bet365, 2.06 at CLoudbet or +105 at Bovada
