Italian Serie A
2026-02-01 - Como vs Atalanta
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 23
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Lombardy, Italy (13,602)
Sunday, 01 February 2026, 15:00 CET
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Como Team News
Como is definitely the story of this Serie A season. They keep finding ways to grow as a football team and as a club, and after the 1-3 home defeat to AC Milan, they dismantled Lazio on the road 0-3 and then totally destroyed Torino at home with 6-0. To add to this, they made light work of troubled Fiorentina on the road in the cup with 1-3 and made it to quarter-finals.
While we can no longer get good prices on Como against the weaker sides in this league, there's still plenty of value to be had when they face the big sides.
The most important thing about Como lately is that they Fabregas has finally chiseled a top talent that is Martin Baturina into something useful. He'll become a force in this league.
Atalanta Team News
This Atalanta runs on Ademola Lookman, and the main man departed for AFCON and was unavailable for a long time. Upon his return, Atalanta seems to have not returned to exactly the same form as when he was here before the African tournament. Sure, Parma was defeated 4-0, but the Champions League defeats to Athletic Bilbao and Royale Union SG are revealing lots of weaknesses the Bergamo side has.
Atalanta just hit good form when Gianluca Scamacca returned to spearhead their offense, but when Lookman left the form fizzled out. Now we're back to square one. This is still a dangerous side but it just can't find a way to do well every week.
Atalanta will probably need a quality rebuild in the offseason and they won't be able to hit good form this season after all. If they intend to do so - this match in Como would be the perfect time. Not only that the European spots aren't too far away - 5 points - but it's Como that holds that 6th spot. Win here, join the battle for the Champions League. Lose - you're 8 points behind.
Probable Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1): Butez - Smolcic, Kempf, Ramon, Valle - Perrone, Da Cunha - Baturina, Paz, Kuhn - Morata. Coach Fabregas.
Atalanta (3-4-3): Carnesecchi - Scalvini, Djimsiti, Ahanor - Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Zalewski - De Ketelaere, Scamacca, Raspadori. Coach Palladino.
The Betting Market
The price on Como is 2.41 while you can get 3.33 on the draw and 3.20 on Atalanta. This is where you find value -- this match has to finish with one of these three outcomes.
If we eliminate the draw as something that only special people gamble on, we think Como is the better pick here. Also, obviously both teams will score and you can get a healthy 1.70 on that. 1.90 if you think there will be a third goal so the game will go Over 2.5 Goals.
All of these are good bets. Expect a goal fest in which both sides will score and Como is likely to be the more successful opponent.
The Betting Verdict
This is potentially yet another chance for Como to rise to the challenge and become a slightly bigger club than yesterday.
Atalanta is certainly ripe to be defeated on the road, we've seen it many times this season already, as this side struggles to make an impression on Serie A.
Atalanta is a side for the top third of the league, but they have their own set of problems.
Como, on the other hand, will cherish the opportunity to do to Atalanta what they've already done to Lazio and Juventus this season - send them home without any points.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Como 2-1 Atalanta
