German Bundesliga
2026-03-07 - Mainz vs VfB Stuttgart
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
MEWA Arena – Mainz
Saturday, 07th March 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
Mainz
Mainz have been excellent under Urs Fischer, losing just two of their 13 matches since he took over last December.
Their last two Bundesliga games ended in 1-1 draws against Hamburger SV and Bayer Leverkusen, keeping them above the relegation zone. However, they are far from safe. Only one point above the drop line means they cannot relax at all.
At home, Mainz are still unbeaten under Fischer (three wins and two draws since December), which gives them confidence heading into this one.
Mainz know VfB Stuttgart are one of the toughest attacking sides in the Bundesliga right now, so defensive discipline will be key for them. If Mainz stays organized at the back and frustrates the visitors, they can make this uncomfortable.
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart arrive in strong form and with a very potent attack. They have scored three or more in each of their last three Bundesliga matches, including the dominant 4-0 win over Wolfsburg last week.
Their attack is clicking, and the partnership between Undav and Leweling is excellent. Leweling scored twice last week, now having six goals scored since the beginning of the year. And Undav is second-best in the Bundesliga behind Harry Kane, leading VfB Stuttgart with 14 goals.
The challenge for VfB Stuttgart is consistency across a tough run of fixtures coming up. With big games against top opponents still ahead, they’ll want to keep momentum and secure points here before the schedule gets heavier.
Winning here is vital because 5 of their last 10 opponents of the season will be Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Leipzig, and TSG Hoffenheim!
The Betting Verdict
VfB Stuttgart have remained unbeaten in 11 of the last 12 duels against Mainz and have already beaten them twice this season – in the cup (away) and the league (home).
VfB Stuttgart are the stronger team and the more likely winners if the game turns open. But Mainz at home are stubborn and won’t make it easy.
I expect VfB Stuttgart to control most of the game, yet Mainz should get opportunities too, and likely score.
The odds on the away win look valuable to me, so back VfB Stuttgart to get their third win against Mainz this season.
The Statistics :
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Pick :
Mainz 1-2 VfB Stuttgart
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take VfB Stuttgart to win at odds of 2.15 with Bet365
