ENGLISH PREMIER BETTING PICK - MANCHESTER UNITED V LIVERPOOL

English Premier

2010-03-21 - Manchester United vs Liverpool

A Sports Betting Pick by Shady

Match Analysis :

Manchester United have played well in recent weeks, winning their last 7 home games since losing to Aston Villa back in December. In these 7 games, Manchester has not let in a single goal and has been scoring for fun.

United are enjoying such a good run thanks to Wayne Rooney who is in superb form. The English International scored has already 32 goals to his name and will be eager to beat Ronaldo’s goal tally set 2 seasons ago.

Sir Alex Ferguson are missing a lot of players but he has the depth in his squad. He will be without Welbeck, Evans, De Laet, Brown, Rafeal, Owen, Anderson and O’Shea while Giggs is doubtful and this game might just come too soon for Owen Hargreaves who played 45 minutes in midweek.

Rafa Benitez on the other hand will be without Skrtel while Aurelio and Aquilani are both doubtful. Liverpool did well to secure a massive 3-0 win against Lille in midweek. The Europa League is the only chance for Liverpool to pick up any silverware this season.

With some internal bust up in the Liverpool dressing room, disharmony is expected among the Liverpool players and Rafa. With Rafa’s own countrymen complaining how negative Rafa is as well as the lack of understanding and communication between the players and the manager, i cannot imagine what it’s like for players that do not speak Spanish.

Liverpool have only won once in their last 6 away games. In fact they have lost 2 of their last 3 away games. The 2 defeat came against Wigan and Arsenal, both by a 1-0 score line. Liverpool have only managed to score 12 goals in the 15 away games this season, this has to be a worrying sign for Rafa as Manchester are rock solid at home.

Probable Line ups :

Manchester United :
Van Der Sar, Neville, Ferdinand, Vidic, Evra, Carrick, Fletcher, Scholes, Nani, Valencia and Rooney.

Liverpool :
Reina, Johnson, Carragher, Agger, Insua, Lucas, Mascherano, Rodriguez, Gerrard, Kuty and Torres.

Asian Handicap Analysis :

Under the asianhandicap line, Manchester United have paid out 10 out of their 15 home games, drawing one and losing 4. Only Birmingham holds a better home record than United at home this season under the handicap line.

The 4 failures to collect came against Birmingham, Sunderland, Bolton and Aston Villa. Since their 0-1 defeat against Villa, Manchester United have cleared every single handicap given at home and have kept 7 clean sheet in a row at home.

Liverpool on the other hand are the worse team in the EPL on the road under the asian handicap line. Out of the 15 away games Liverpool have played, the Reds have only managed to collect 2 times, drawing 2 and losing the remaining 11 games sgainst the betting line!!

Their only 2 away collects on the handicap came against Everton and Aston Villa. This is hard to believe for a club like Liverpool struggling on the road. Many people are unaware of this stat.

The Betting Verdict :

With Liverpool playing their 3rd game in 7 days, they players would definitely be tired physically as well as mentally. No doubt the win in midweek would have given them a massive boost but they worked hard against Lille and Portsmouth in the past 7 days.

To make things more interesting, Manchester United holds one of the best home record under the handicap line while Liverpool right at the bottom. I cant imagine how people can back Liverpool yet again. Week after week, Liverpool has disappoint many people.

Liverpool have won their previous 3 games against Manchester Utd but The Red DEvils are a team on form and they are well rested. Wayne Rooney is the hottest player on the planet right now and if his form continues, I cant see how Liverpool will keep him out.

In addition, Liverpool struggle to score on the road and Manchester United has kept 7 clean sheets in a row at home.

I expect Manchester United to win.

The Statistics :

BEST BETTING TIP :

My money is on Manchester United to win the game.

Consider a side bet on over 5 yellow cards.