Tennis
2025-11-04 - Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
A Sports Betting Pick by FirstDown
Tennis: WTA Finals Group Stage
Tuesday 4th November 2025 - Scheduled 7pm
4pm (British Time)
Preview
There is a real rivalry between Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka and they have faced off in some huge matches on the hard courts over the last couple of years.
In 2024 they met in the US Open Final and in September they met in the Semi Final at the same tournament with both matches being won by Aryna Sabalenka in competitive outings.
Most recently Jessica Pegula snapped Sabalenka's long dominant run in Wuhan by coming from a set and a break down to win that Semi Final and you do wonder if that will give the American confidence with the window to win a Grand Slam title closing.
A win over Coco Gauff has put Jessica Pegula in a good position in the Group, but it was a battling match and the World Number 5 will need to recover in what is going to be another tough contest.
Aryna Sabalenka had a much more routine win in the opening Group match and the World Number 1 is always full of belief in her ability to beat any opponent across the net. Her head to head with Jessica Pegula will give the Belarusian plenty of confidence, even if she was beaten most recently.
The expectation is that Aryna Sabalenka will win this Group match, but she may have to serve better than she did on Sunday if she is going to cover this handicap line.
There is always a chance that you could run into the World Number 1 on a day she produces her very best level, but Jessica Pegula has enjoyed the fight against Aryna Sabalenka. Even winning a set in a losing effort may keep Pegula in a strong spot to Qualify for the Semi Final in Riyadh and she is capable of doing that and avoiding a really comfortable defeat in this second round of Group matches.
Prediction
Both players have opened up with wins, but there is work to do if they want to progress to the WTA Finals last four and another competitive match is expected.
The Pick :
Aryna Sabalenka 2-1 Jessica Pegula
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
I'll back Jessica Pegula + 4.5 Games at 1.88 with SportBet.One
