EXCELSIOR v PSV EINDHOVEN
Football : Holland : Dutch Eredivisie
Saturday 5th March 2011 – Kickoff 7.45pm

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When you look at the table, you'd give Excelsior no chance against a rampant PSV who lead the division despite holding home advantage – and ultimately I guess you'd be right.

Excelsior (16th - 22 pts)

But Excelsior's home record isn't that bad at 6-2-5 23/24, as it's their away form that has really let them down this season with just 2 points from a possible 36!

Excelsior are also the league’s lowest goal scorers on the road. But we concentrate on home form in this fixture, and they beat Willem II 4-0 last home match.

In fact, Excelsior have won their last two at home on the trot with a 2-1 win over AZ Alkmaar, and they do present a totally different proposition on home soil, or rather, home artificial pitch, which could also play a part in this fixture.

Excelsior will be giving their second string keeper a start in this one and have Bergkamp, Alisic and Vincken all doubtful, while De Graaf is sidelined.

PSV Eindhoven (1st - 54 pts)

PSV Eindhoven retained top spot following a 0-0 draw at home to Ajax and will be slightly disappointed in getting just the one point despite creating many chances but just couldn't beat the inspired Ajax keeper Stekelenburg who pulled off some wonderful saves.

This draw was made slightly more favourable as Twente lost at AZ Alkmaar, so PSV remain top of the table and undefeated in their last three matches.

On the road, it's just one loss in their 11 away matches so far and PSV have won their last two to nil; 3-0 at Venlo and 4-0 at AZ Alkmaar who are surely a better side than Excelsior despite the plastic pitch.

PSV's away record stands at a solid 6-4-1 22/10, and they really should win this one but something tells me it won't be as easy as people think. PSV have no injury worries.

The Betting Verdict :

Excelsior's pitch and their need to survive might be a sticking point here, but you can't rule out PSV's attacking abilities either.

Dzsudzsak is in form at the moment (13 goals), so I'm opting for a few goals instead. PSV to maybe win 2-1.

The Pick :

Excelsior 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Main Pick : Take Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 with bet365 the best option on offer I feel