German Bundesliga
2011-04-29 - Werder Bremen vs Vfl Wolfsburg
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football ; Germany : Bundesliga
Weser Stadion
Friday, 29th April 2011 – kickoff 20:30
Werder Bremen
Last weekend`s 3-1 away win over St.Pauli was Werder Bremen`s eight straight unbeaten match and they need just one more win so they can be perfectly safe in the Bundesliga and to start making plans for the next season.
This match is probably the best opportunity for Werder Bremen to seal the safety, because next weekend they will play against the table leaders Borussia Dortmund and in the last Bundesliga round they travel to a tricky fixture against Kaiserslautern, which is a team that also cannot afford dropping points.
Werder Bremen are winless at their home ground in the last six matches (five draws, one defeat) so now they have to step up and finally get the home win they need.
Werder Bremen are facing some injury trouble in front of this match as the midfielder Tim Borowski had suffered a knee ligament injury at a training practice during the week, so he is definitely out.
Also the striker Sandro Wagner received an ankle injury during a training session and although it seemed that the injury is not serious, he had missed several training sessions and will be most likely replaced with Marko Arnautovic in the starting line up who will partner Claudio Pizarro in the attack.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up :
Fritz, Mertesacker, Pasanen, Silvestre,
Frings,
Bargfrede, Wesley,
Marin,
Pizarro, Arnautovic
Vfl Wolfsburg
Vfl Wolfsburg had showed an impressive performance last weekend when they beat FC Koln 4-1, but they are still placed at the play off spot and are two points behind safety.
This is probably a bad time to face Werder Bremen, who are on a rise and Vfl Wolfsburg will push to stay at least unbeaten in this tough away match.
A news that might unsettle the players before this match is that there are reports that the coach Felix Magath had made contacts with the Russian club Dynamo Moskow and had reached agreement to be their next coach starting from the next season. Whether this is true or not is yet to be seen, as there is still no official statement by the coach or the Russian club, although it was said that the contact was made.
Positive news for Vfl Wolfsburg is that they will travel to Bremen with full squad available, and also during the week Alexander Madlung and Dieudonne Mbokani had returned who were out of the team last week.
Vfl Wolfsburg will play in offensive formation with two strikers-Mario Mandzukic and Grafite and Diego will play as a playmaker behind them.
Probable Vfl Wolfsburg line-up :
Riether, Kjaer, A. Friedrich, M. Schafer,
Josue,
Polak, Dejagah,
Diego,
Mandzukic, Grafite
The Betting Verdict
The first match between Werder Bremen and Vfl Wolfsburg this season had ended in goalless draw and interesting thing from that match is that the both teams had opportunities to score goals by penalties, but Edin Dzeko for Vfl Wolfsburg and Torsten Frings for Werder Bremen have missed.
The overall record is slightly on Werder Bremen side as they have twelve wins, six draws and nine losses against Vfl Wolfsburg.
Although Vfl Wolfsburg are under pressure to win and get three points, i favor Werder Bremen to win this match. The home team is in great form being unbeaten in the last eight matches and their home win is long overdue as they have not won at Weser Stadion in over a month now. Werder Bremen are almost safe in the league but they do need at least three points so they will be definitely safe.
Vfl Wolfsburg had many chances previously and still failed to deliver, so although many expect them to win this weekend i think they will fail once again and that the three points will stay in Bremen.
The Statistics :
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The Pick :
Werder Bremen-Vfl Wolfsburg 2-1
