Bayern Munich vs Mainz football Betting Pick

Gambling advice by Niko covering the German Bundesliga match Bayern Munich vs Mainz.

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Niko's Recommended Bet :

Take Bayern Munich to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50 with BetFred


Place the bet at BetFred Now!

German Bundesliga

2025-04-26 - Bayern Munich vs Mainz

A Sports Betting Pick by Niko

Bayern Munich v Mainz
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Allianz Arena – Munich
Saturday, 26th April 2025 - kickoff 15:30 CET

Bayern Munich


Bayern Munich can win the Bundesliga title this weekend at home if they win against Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen fails to beat Augsburg.

If not, they will win it next week away at RB Leipzig, which might be even sweeter as they will celebrate in a place and team they do not like much.

Anyhow, Bayern Munich responded fantastically after losing the title to Bayer Leverkusen last season. They are the most consistent team, much stronger than last season, losing just twice in their 30 Bundesliga games.

The Bavarians extended their unbeaten Bundesliga run to five games last week, easily hammering Heidenheim 0-4 away without even sweating in that game. That was their seventh game from the last eight, in which they scored at least twice, and their seventh game from the last eight, which ended with 3+ goals.

The so-called “Harry Kane title curse” is about to finally end. We can imagine he will be delighted to finally be crowned as a champion with Bayern Munich. It might not happen this weekend, but next week surely. On top of that, he will be the best goalscorer in the Bundesliga, so there are many reasons for celebration.

Thomas Muller will also be delighted this weekend, as he is about to play his 500th Bundesliga match! Only 12 other players in Germany have achieved such a feat, so I am sure his team will do everything to win this game and give him another good reason to remember this milestone match.

Mainz


Mainz is about to ruin everything they worked hard for this season. They were within a millimeter of playing in the Champions League next season, but it is not going to happen. Not because they have no chance, they do, but because they have been terrible in recent weeks.

Mainz are winless in five Bundesliga games, drawing three times and losing twice. That winless series will now stretch to six winless games as there is no way they avoid defeat in Munich this weekend.

Last week, Mainz led 2-1 against Wolfsburg for most of the game, yet they conceded in the last minute of the game for a 2-2 draw. That draw dropped them to sixth spot, two points behind fourth place, but now they have two games where they are massive underdogs — Bayern Munich and Eintracht Frankfurt.

The Betting Verdict


Mainz has been a somewhat bogey team to Bayern Munich in recent seasons. They are the only German team that has won against Bayern Munich four times in the past five seasons, and they also beat them this season in their first game, 2-1, in mid-December.

Now Bayern Munich is in much better form, full of confidence, and will go hard to win this game. A victory may bring them the title this weekend, so expect a motivated performance from them.

Mainz is in poor recent shape and has lost their last two away games in the Bundesliga, so back Bayern Munich to win in combination with at least three goals scored.

The Statistics :

BAYERN_MUNICH LAST SIX HOME FORM
Bayern_Munich betting tip
DATE   RESULT   OPPOSITION
2025-04-12  D 2-2   H v Dortmund  
2025-03-29  W 3-2   H v St_Pauli  
2025-03-08  L 2-3   H v Bochum  
2025-02-23  W 4-0   H v Eintracht_F  
2025-02-07  W 3-0   H v Bremen  
2025-02-01  W 4-3   H v Holstein_Keil  

MAINZ LAST SIX AWAY FORM
Mainz betting tip
DATE   RESULT   OPPOSITION
2025-04-12  L 2-0   A v Hoffenheim  
2025-03-30  L 3-1   A v Dortmund  
2025-03-07  W 1-3   A v Monchengladbach  
2025-03-01  W 1-2   A v RB_Leipzig  
2025-02-16  W 0-2   A v Heidenheim  
2025-01-31  L 1-0   A v Bremen  

HEAD TO HEAD BAYERN_MUNICH v MAINZ
DATE   HOME SCORE   AWAY
2024-03-09    Bayern_Munich   8-1   Mainz  
2022-10-29    Bayern_Munich   6-2   Mainz  
2021-12-11    Bayern_Munich   2-1   Mainz  
2021-01-03    Bayern_Munich   5-2   Mainz  
2019-08-31    Bayern_Munich   6-1   Mainz  
2019-03-17    Bayern_Munich   6-0   Mainz  

The Pick :

Bayern Munich 3-0 Mainz

FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :

Take Bayern Munich to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50 with BetFred
Another winning bet
Place the bet at BetFred Now!



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