Club World Cup
2025-06-24 - Benfica vs Bayern Munich
A Sports Betting Pick by SharpEdge
Football: FIFA Club World Cup – Group C Match
Date : Tuesday, 24 June 2025 – Kickoff 3:00 p.m. ET
Venue : Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Introduction:
Both sides are already through to the knockouts — but there’s still something at stake as Group C wraps up in Charlotte.
Bayern sit top with six points and a monstrous +11 goal difference, while Benfica trail with four points. Only a win for the Portuguese side will see them leapfrog the German giants.
That gives this one meaning — and possibly an open edge.
Benfica
After a tense 2–2 draw with Boca Juniors in their opener, Benfica were one of the sides most disrupted by the weather chaos — their match against Auckland City was suspended for hours due to lightning. When it finally resumed, they showed no mercy in a 6–0 romp.
That result confirmed qualification and improved squad mood. Bruno Lage’s side are potent in attack — particularly with the sharpness of Vangelis Pavlidis, while Ángel Di María continues to create at will.
There’s a suspension for veteran defender Nicolás Otamendi, though — which could open the door for Bayern’s firepower.
Bayern Munich
The Germans mean business. They came into this tournament angry — and took it out on Auckland City with a record 10–0 destruction. Against Boca Juniors they rotated more heavily but still had enough to win 2–1 and control the game.
Jamal Musiala has starred, and Leroy Sané continues to torment defenders out wide. Manager Vincent Kompany has hinted at changes again, but their depth means even a rotated side is packed with international quality. Bayern want a perfect group stage, and keeping momentum matters.
Past Meetings
These teams have faced off 11 times in UEFA competition — most recently in 2021 — and Benfica have never won. Bayern boast 9 wins and 2 draws, including a 5–2 and 4–0 victory in their last group-stage pairing.
There’s no psychological edge for the Portuguese side — and Bayern’s comfort against this level of opposition is well-established.
The Betting Lines
Odds: Benfica 4.55, Draw 3.20, Bayern Munich 1.99
Totals: Over 2.5 goals 1.75 / Under 2.5 goals 2.05
BTTS: Yes 1.61 / No 2.20
Asian Handicap: Benfica +0.5 @ 1.87 / Bayern -0.5 @ 1.97
The Betting Verdict
It’s the final match in the group and there’s no need to play cagey. Both sides have looked fluid going forward and, with Otamendi suspended and Bayern rotating their backline, goals could come again. That makes Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75 the strongest angle.
It’s priced just about right but feels like a better-than-coin-flip chance given motivation and conditions. Benfica will go for it — they need the win — while Bayern don’t do neutral.
The Pick :
Benfica 1–3 Bayern Munich
