Greek League
2007-05-12 - Panionios vs AEK Athens
A Sports Betting Pick by Dimitris
Only Panionios have an interest in that game as with a victory they seal UEFA Cup football for the next season.PANIONIOS
Panionios although they made a slow start in the league they vastly improved after the second half of the league.They are currently one of the most in-form teams with 4-1-1 in the last 6 games. They only need the win in this game in order to secure an UEFA Cup spot. This effort is made easier by the fact that they have a full squad for this match and a strong fan support.
AEK ATHENS
AEK had a succesful season as they had a decent appearence in the group stage of Champions League and they are 2nd in the greek league, a fact that allows them to enjoy Champions League football for the next season as well. THis match is totally indifferent to them as they can't lose 2nd place by 3rd placed Panathinaikos. AEK have a huge injury list and in the 18-man-squad 5 players will be from the youth team. Most importantly literally all defense players are missing and in that positions AEK will field youths or midfield players
HEAD TO HEAD
Last time Panionios Beat AEK at home for the league was back to 2000. There is no clear trend towrads overs/unders but you can see some really high scoring games in the previous results.
Athens AEK:Panionios 4:0 17.12.2006
Athens AEK:Panionios 2:0 12.03.2006
Panionios:Athens AEK 0:2 31.10.2005
Panionios:Athens AEK 1:1 13.02.2005
Athens AEK:Panionios 2:0 03.10.2004
Athens AEK:Panionios 0:1 07.02.2004
Panionios:Athens AEK 2:2 27.09.2003
Athens AEK:Panionios 4:2 25.05.2003
Panionios:Athens AEK 1:1 19.01.2003
Athens AEK:Panionios 2:1 31.03.2002
Panionios:Athens AEK 2:6 09.12.2001
Athens AEK:Panionios 5:1 01.04.2001
Panionios:Athens AEK 2:0 02.12.2000
VERDICT
Panionios have to win that match and i believe they will do so against a very weak AEK squad that already think of vacation. The fact that AEK fields such a weak defense leads me to prefer overs rather than home win, although that bet has a real risk if Panionios take a 1-0 or 2-0 lead and just decide to protect that score. Anyway both 1.6 for home win at Interwetten or 2.00+ for overs at betfair (before commision) look solid bets to me.
The Pick :
Panionios win@1.6, overs @2.00+
