English Premier
2021-10-30 - Burnley vs Brentford
A Sports Betting Pick by Auls
Football: English Premier League
Saturday 30th October 2021 - Kick Off 3pm
Burnley
History suggests that Burnley will find a way to pick up the results they need to avoid relegation under Sean Dyche, but the performances are still a little worrying. Going out of the League Cup Fourth Round to Tottenham Hotspur may not be the worst result in the world for Burnley whose main focus is the Premier League this season and means they will not have an additional fixture through the loaded festive period.
A point was gained at Southampton last weekend, but that leaves Burnley in 18th place in the Premier League table and they remain one of three clubs still searching for a maiden League win. The side are 3 points behind Leeds United in the position above them, but a win for Burnley would see them move above that club. A 0-2-2 record at Turf Moor in the Premier League has seen Burnley score 2 goals and concede 4.
Burnley have not won any of their last 5 games in all competitions and they will go into the weekend having lost 2 of their last 3. The side have not scored in 3 of their last 4 at home in all competitions, while Burnley have failed to win any of their last 14 Premier League games at Turf Moor.
Wayne Hennessey and Dale Stephens are expected to miss out.
Brentford
It goes to show how far Brentford have come that fans would have streamed away from their new Stadium disappointed with a defeat to a club like Leicester City. Thomas Frank is overseeing the Coaching, but this is a well run club from boardroom down to the training ground and during the week Brentford reached the League Cup Quarter Final for a second season in succession.
The defeat to Leicester City has dropped Brentford into 12th place in the Premier League table, but they have picked up 12 points so far this season which is a positive return for a newly promoted club. The Bees have a 2-2-0 record away from home and they have scored 5 goals and conceded 2 in those games.
Brentford put out a strong team and beat Stoke City in the League Cup Fourth Round during the week, but they have lost back to back Premier League games to Chelsea and Leicester City. Both of those came at home and Brentford were unfortunate in both, but they will be heading into this weekend looking for a 4th away victory in succession.
Ethan Pinnock, Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo are hoping to be passed fit. Vitaly Janelt is a doubt, while Brentford suffered a big blow after David Raya was ruled out for months.
Head to Head
Burnley did the League double over Brentford in the 2015/16 Championship season.
Burnley are unbeaten in 3 home games against Brentford.
Prediction
Over the years, this has been the kind of match that Burnley have found a way to win and it is those results which have ensured they have spent a number of seasons in the Premier League.
They have yet to win in the 2021/22 Premier League season, but Burnley have picked up a few points over the last month which has kept them just about in touch with those above them. The fixture list looks to be getting much kinder for Burnley in the weeks ahead, but they did fail to beat Norwich City here and that means they have not won any of their last 14 Premier League games at Turf Moor.
The team are not creating as many chances as they would like and Burnley have not been as intense defensively either. Put that together and it is very difficult to find wins, while it also leaves them potentially vulnerable to a defeat this weekend.
Brentford arrive having won their last 3 away games in all competitions and even the two Premier League losses in recent weeks is not expected to dent the belief of this squad. They deserved a lot more than they got against Chelsea and Leicester City and being able to compete with those clubs means Brentford will feel very confident going into a set of fixtures which look much more winnable on paper.
They have played really well at Wolves and West Ham United in winning efforts there and Brentford look like they are capable of making it three Premier League away wins in a row. David Raya will be a big absentee for Brentford, but the win at Stoke City in the League Cup during the week shows this is a team that will take things a game at a time and will not allow defeats to affect them too much.
Winning at Burnley is never easy, but Sean Dyche's men have lost 6 of their last 8 Premier League games at Turf Moor. The chances that Brentford are likely to create coupled with the pretty decent defensive shape they can produce means the away team look a good team to back on the Asian Handicap to secure a vital three points.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Burnley 0-2 Brentford
