German Bundesliga
2021-12-03 - Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei – Berlin
Friday, 03rd December 2021 - kickoff 20:30 CET
Union Berlin
Union Berlin suffered a last-second defeat in the last round against Eintracht Frankfurt, losing 2-1. They played a solid game but were unfortunate to pick up at least one point, which they badly wanted. Just 1 victory in the last 5 Bundesliga matches (2 draws, 2 defeats) shows that Union Berlin is not in the best of form lately.
However, playing at home in Berlin is a whole other story. Since September 2020, only the Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich managed to beat Union Berlin at home. That is their only defeat in their last 23 games played at their stadium.
Recently, Union Berlin won 3 of their last 4 home games and also scored 2+ goals in each of their last three home matches.
Positive team news for Union Berlin is that they have their best line-up available, without injured or suspended players. This means they are likely to play with the same starting eleven that faced Eintracht Frankfurt last week.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig comes into this game on the back of two back-to-back losses against TSG Hoffenheim (2-0) and Bayer Leverkusen (1-3). This is the second time this season for RB Leipzig to suffer two straight defeats, and they are already having their worst Bundesliga season to date.
On top of their problems, RB Leipzig is currently facing coronavirus-related issues. Their head coach Jesse Marsch is out in isolation and will not lead the team in this game. First-choice goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and defender Willi Orban are still recovering, while Marcel Halstenberg, Dani Olmo, and Yussuf Poulsen are all out too.
Interestingly, RB Leipzig are the fifth-best attacking team in the Bundesliga this season, yet they struggle near mid-table and simply cannot win an away match this season.
So far, RB Leipzig played just 3 draws and suffered 3 defeats in their 6 away games this season. They also lost all of their last 3 games from last season, including a defeat against Union Berlin. So now RB Leipzig's winless away series stretches to 9 games (3 draws, 6 defeats).
Another interesting fact is that all of RB Leipzig’s 6 away matches this season ended with 3+ goals scored.
The Betting Verdict
Since 2019, Union Berlin faced RB Leipzig 4 times in the Bundesliga, losing 3 of those matches, but won the most recent encounter played in May this year with 2-1 in Berlin.
RB Leipzig are not reliable on the road ever since last season plus they have many important players out of the team. That makes it a bit difficult to back them on this difficult trip.
Union Berlin are a fantastic home side, very tough to break, so they have the edge here.
However, I would avoid betting on a winner and would rather focus on both sides to score, considering the teams' way of play in recent matches.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take both teams to score: YES at odds of 1.75 at Bet365


