Italian Serie A
2024-12-07 - Juventus vs Bologna
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 15
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Saturday, 6 December 2024, 18:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Juventus Team News
If we knew the numbers, and saw exactly how much money the bookmakers made on Juventus games this season, it would probably be a lot and would be near or at the top of the pile in Serie A. No other team that is expected to win as often has failed to win this much.
6-8-0 is the record now, after failing to keep a 0-1 lead at Lecce, and after losing us a seemingly already won Win To Nil bet. In other words, you do not bet on Juventus this season unless you really must.
There's no trend to rely on, either, as with Juventus it's a matter of chance. Sometimes the game goes their way, sometimes it does not. What's important is that they're displaying very little control over the outcome.
Bologna Team News
Bologna had shooting practice against Venezia in the league and against Monza in the cup, winning 3-0 and 4-0 respectively, so they're hoping that their days of poor offensive performances are history. Hardly -- but it's a positive sign. There's life left in this team.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Danilo, Gatti, Kalulu, Cambiaso - Locatelli, Thuram - Conceicao, Koopmeiners, Weah - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Bologna (4-2-3-1): Skorupski - Holm, Beukema, Lucumi, Miranda - Pobega, Freuler - Ndoye, Odgaard, Dominguez - Castro. Coach Italiano.
Orsolini is out for Bologna.
The Betting Market
Juventus win is priced at 1.70 and that seems like a trap. Juventus is indeed a better side, and you know as well as every punter on the planet that Juventus is a 1-0 kind of home team, but they just haven't been reliable lately.
Under 2.5 Goals is the favoured outcome, with a price of only 1.61, as the bookmakers expect trench warfare and a lot of short passing. We agree. But as it's likely that Juventus will need that second goal because Bologna scored too, we'll pass on this offer.
The Betting Verdict
It's safe to say Motta will want to prove that Bologna is worse off since he left and that Juventus is better off than when he wasn't here. Interestingly, in last three meetings with Juventus - as the Bologna coach - he took a point. Wouldn't look good if Bologna wins now.
On the other hand, it often turns out it's the players who have the added motive. The ones left behind. While it may seem like a totally unreasonable thing to do, we're betting on Bologna to score here. They'll want to prove to their former coach that he shouldn't have left for pastures new.
Juventus usually keeps a clean sheet in derbies - not in matches against seemingly inferior opposition. In fact, it's these matches that they concede a goal in.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Juventus 1-1 Bologna
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Both Teams To Score: YES at 2.20 at Bet365
