Italian Serie A
2024-12-29 - Juventus vs Fiorentina
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 18
Allianz Stadium, Torino, Piedmont, Italy (41,507)
Sunday, 29 December 2024, 18:00 CET
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Juventus Team News
Juventus is undefeated for 13 competitive matches now, and just got an important win in Serie A against Monza that came after four consecutive draws. This team is drawing far too much, but teams with such a record tend to climb the table quickly once they enter a winning streak.
Juventus is currently 6th, just behind Fiorentina at 5th that has one game less. It's absolutely imperative for Juventus to win this one and get within one point of the top four spots.
Fiorentina Team News
It's three competitive matches now without a win for Fiorentina, indicating that this team is slowing down. Or, if you look at their last seven competitive outings, they only defeated Cagliari and LASK at home. Lost to Empoli in the cup, lost to Bologna and Udinese, and failed to beat Vitoria Guimaraes in the Conference League. The goals have dried up too. Sure, Fiorentina scored 7 past LASK, but in these other matches they never scored more than one.
Probable Lineups
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Savona, Gatti, Kalulu, McKennie - Locatelli, Thuram - Conceicao, Koopmeiners, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Motta.
Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): De Gea - Dodo, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens - Cataldi, Adli - Colpani, Gudmundsson, Sottil - Kean. Coach Palladino.
The Betting Market
Juventus is a 1.83 favourite, and that's a lot of unwarranted trust by the bookmakers right there. Juventus hasn't really been making waves this season and hasn't been performing when favoured. You can bet on them to not lose though.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.66, while the Both Teams To Score market is more evenly split at 1.95 for Yes and 1.80 for No.
The Betting Verdict
Juventus will definitely want to keep this one low-scoring. The Bianconeri won't enter an open exchange of blows and won't chase Fiorentina up and down the pitch. The plan is to pass the ball around endlessly and make it slower than Fiorentina would like.
This will likely reinforce Fiorentina's problems with scoring - that arise sometimes - and will make the entire game low-scoring as a result. While Juventus is prone to playing high-scoring games when they play a lowly team such as Venezia, in derbies they tighten up and make it a one-goal game.
The Pick :
Juventus 1-1 Fiorentina
