Italian Serie A
2025-01-11 - Torino vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 20
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Italy (28,177)
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 18:00 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Torino Team News
Parma had so many absences and problems in the team, yet Torino wasn't able to win a home game against them. It was a really poor performance despite a seemingly good xG of 1.13, as most of the situations were harmless. This leaves Torino with one win in their last ten matches in Serie A.
Juventus Team News
Juventus lost to Milan in the super cup in Riyadh in an embarassing fashion, with an own goal and a penalty kick goal in space of five minutes after taking a 1-0 lead to the 70th minute. This continues the worrying trend of conceding twice in a game - Bologna, Venezia and Fiorentina did that to Juventus in the last 30 days alone.
Probable Lineups
Torino (3-5-2): Milinkovic-Savic - Vojvoda, Maripan, Coco - Sosa, Ricci, Linetty, Lazaro, Vlasic - Adams, Karamoh. Coach Vanoli.
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Savona, Gatti, Kalulu, McKennie - Douglas Luiz, Thuram - Yildiz, Koopmeiners, Mbangula - Nico Gonzalez. Coach Motta.
Vlahovic is out for Juventus so Nico Gonzalez, a right winger, will deputise up front.
The Betting Market
Juventus is priced at 1.85, perhaps a bit lower than we'd like, but time and time again they've found a way to say to Torino that there's no real rivalry here and that there's only one good team in Turin. Under 2.5 Goals is expectedly priced at 1.50, and Both Teams To Score: NO is priced a bit higher at 1.57.
The Betting Verdict
Only one of last seven meetings went Over 2.5 Goals - and it was a six-goal thriller that had four goals in the first half already. Also, Torino hasn't won in last 15 meetings, since October 2015. It's clear to everyone that in this derby Juventus wins or draws and the game is low-scoring. The question is how to make money on that.
The answer is, of course, the Bet365 Bet Builder. We'll add the Juventus Double Chance to the Under 2.5 Goals to get a total price of 1.75. Not bad - we can win with 1-1 while the majority of European betting population lose their bets on Juventus to win.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Torino 0-1 Juventus
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Juventus or Draw & Under 2.5 Goals at 1.75 at Bet365
