Italian Serie A
2025-01-14 - Atalanta vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 19
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Bergamo, Lombardy, Italy (21,747)
Tuesday, 14 January 2025, 20:45 CET
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Atalanta Team News
Atalanta failed to do anything at Udinese, and the match ended 0-0, completely against our and everyone else's expectations of a high-scoring game. Atalanta matched Udinese's intensity, and as a result, both teams got into a deadlock. Atalanta didn't even shoot much; Udinese did but didn't find the ability to score on a 1.63 xG.
Before that, Atalanta lost to Inter, and played a draw at Lazio. Interestingly, Atalanta is now in a series of three consecutive visiting games, these three that were described. Now they finally return home.
Juventus Team News
Juventus scored for the lead against Torino, but, uncharacteristically for this side, failed to defend the lead and the match ended 1-1. This result comes after a defeat to Milan in the Super Cup semi-finals in Riyadh, and a home 2-2 draw against Fiorentina in the league - a third consecutive winless match for Juventus.
But it's not like Juventus was winning in series before. Draw is the natural state of things in Turin since Motta is here, so everything is going as planned.
Probable Lineups
Atalanta (3-4-3): Carnesecchi - Koussounou, Hien, Kolasinac - Bellanova, Ederson, Pasalic, Zappacosta - De Ketelaere, Retegui, Lookman. Coach Gasperini.
Juventus (4-2-3-1): Di Gregorio - Savona, Gatti, Kalulu, McKennie - Douglas Luiz, Thuram - Yildiz, Koopmeiners, Mbangula - Nico Gonzalez. Coach Motta.
The Betting Market
Atalanta is favoured because of their winning run against the weak teams, and we'd say it's a leap of faith to say they'll justify the 2.06 price against Juventus. After all, they're winless in three but then again, so is Juventus.
Under 2.5 Goals is priced at 1.72, with a 2.10 on the Over. Both Teams To Score market is evenly split at 1.90.
The Betting Verdict
Despite the bookmakers being well-aware that these two sides will likely play a low-scoring game and offering the price of only 1.72, it's still the best bet here. You can't get a value bet every time.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Atalanta 1-0 Juventus
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Under 2.5 Goals at 1.75 at Bet365
