German Bundesliga
2025-09-28 - SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Europa Park Stadion - Freiburg
Sunday, 28th September 2025 - kickoff 15:30 CET
SC Freiburg
It looks like SC Freiburg are finally back on the right track. After losing their first two matches convincingly against Augsburg and Koln, SC Freiburg won two in a row against VfB Stuttgart (3-1) and Werder Bremen (0-3).
On top of that, SC Freiburg also won in the Europa League last Wednesday, 2-1 at home against FC Basel, so Julian Schuster’s men are in good shape and full of confidence before this game.
A slight rotation is expected in the formation that faced the Swiss side, but luckily, no one got injured in that game.
Regarding the Bundesliga games, all of SC Freiburg’s last seven matches ended with three or more goals scored.
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim has the same record as SC Freiburg so far, two wins and two defeats.
An interesting curiosity is that TSG Hoffenheim won all their competitive away games this season, beating Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin in the Bundesliga, as well as Hansa Rostock in the DFB Cup.
TSG Hoffenheim lost 1-4 to Bayern Munich last weekend, but they played decently for the first 40 minutes in that game. That was their 8th game from the last 9 in the Bundesliga where they conceded twice or more.
Similar to SC Freiburg’s games, all of TSG Hoffenheim’s last nine Bundesliga games ended with 3+ goals.
The Betting Verdict
SC Freiburg has a fantastic recent record against TSG Hoffenheim, going unbeaten in six straight Bundesliga duels. They won four of those matches, including the most recent one played in Freiburg, 3-2, last April.
Here, I believe SC Freiburg are the favourites to win, considering their recent history and current form (three straight wins). However, they had a midweek European game, and TSG Hoffenheim will likely be fresher in this match.
Instead of backing a winner, I would go with recent history and bet on both teams to score in the match.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
SC Freiburg 2-1 TSG Hoffenheim
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take both teams to score: YES at odds of 1.53 at BetFred
