Italian Serie A
2025-09-28 - Sassuolo vs Udinese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 5
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (21,525)
Sunday, 28 September 2025, 12:30 CET
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Sassuolo Team News
In theory, this should all work like a charm. An offensive 4-3-3 that is equally good when having the ball and when waiting for a counter attack, Berardi in offense, two more guys who know how to play football, Nemanja Matic in midfield.
The only problem is, well, that it doesn't work. In football you don't live on memories of last season, perhaps Italian football has evolved to make that Sassuolo of old obsolete. By pursuing that same dream of how they want to play they're shooting themselves in the foot.
Whatever the cause may be, Sassuolo is not a good side and is not a giant killer despite the 1-0 win against Lazio. Anyone can beat Lazio as that side has good and bad days.
It seems that the best this side can do is force Cremonese into a five-goal thriller and eventually lose that game. They're trying to force every game into a shootout, yet it's usually at their own peril.
Until proven otherwise by an impressive performance - not just the result - we're fading Sassuolo.
Udinese Team News
For years now, Udinese is a side that can make you money. Constantly underappreciated by the bookmakers, Udinese gets good prices and yet performs admirably when paired against a weaker team. Even when Udinese gets an impressive win like they did against Inter, the bookmakers just dismiss it as an outlier and proceed to consider Udinese a perfectly average team that never does anything.
Except that they do. More often than not, they'll overpower a team from the bottom third of the table, simply because they play grown-up football compared to these sides that all have glaring holes in their gameplay.
Udinese is a serious side that simply lacks world class players, yet still tries to play offensively since coach Runjaic took over a while ago. Against Milan, Udinese was completely pacified, but that's not how Udinese will look like here.
Probable Lineups
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Muric - Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig - Vrancx, Matic, Kone - Berardi, Pinamonti, Lauriente. Coach Grosso.
Udinese (3-5-2): Sava - Bertola, Kristensen, Solet - Ehizibue, Piotrowski, Atta, Zemura - Davis, Zaniolo. Coach Runjaic.
The Betting Market
Sassuolo is the favourite simply because of being the home team. The price is 2.35, with 3.20 on the visitors. Dare we say, the prices are set all wrong. This is crazy. Sassuolo gets credit for an Inter win from two years ago, Udinese doesn't for one from two weeks ago.
Udinese is a mid-table team that covers the entire pitch with intensity, whereas Sassuolo is a small dog that bites sometimes - and that's the best-case scenario for them, if you consider them being the same team from two seasons ago, which they're not.
An underish game is expected, the bookmakers say, and we agree. The price on Under 2.5 Goals is 1.73. At the same time, Both Teams To Score: YES is the favoured option at 1.80, and here we disagree as it's a tall order to ask for these two sides to perform on the same day. Only one will.
The Betting Verdict
Betting on Udinese when the situation is favourable for them is good for you. This side will be completely powerless against AC Milan, but is equally capable of dominating in that same fashion when they meet a minnow themselves.
The Pisa game was evidence of this. You couldn't tell by the 0-1 result or the stats, but Udinese had a firm grasp on Pisa on the road. Sassuolo is a team of the same quality, or lack thereof, with a worse defence. This is why we expect to see a rerun of the Pisa game, with the same outcome.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Sassuolo 0-2 Udinese
