Italian Serie A
2025-11-30 - Pisa vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 13
Arena Garibaldi, Pisa, Tuscany, Italy (14,869)
Sunday, 30 November 2025, 15:00 CET
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Pisa Team News
Pisa became a stable team that doesn't lose, kudos for that, but this roster is still really poor so it's a matter of time before the results decline again. In the last eight rounds, Pisa is at 1-6-1. The sole defeat was to Bologna 4-0, and the win is from two weeks ago when Pisa hosted Cremonese and got their first win of the season with 1-0.
Inter Team News
Inter keeps losing big matches this season, and the latest installment in this franchise is the 0-1 defeat to city rivals AC Milan. Inter had a spot kick but Maignan saved Calhanoglu's shot. Rightfully so, as it was a "rigorino" anyway, a "small penalty" that probably shouldn't have been whistled.
This probably means that the inexperienced Christian Chivu is a class below Simone Inzaghi and simply can't lead the team to the same heights. Whatever Inter's problem may be, from a betting standpoint we know what to expect - they will beat the inferior sides easily, and will not beat any truly strong opponent.
Probable Lineups
Pisa (3-4-1-2): Šemper - Caracciolo, Albiol, Canestrelli - Toure, Piccinini, Aebischer, Leris - Tramoni - Moreo, Nzola. Coach Gilardino.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni - Luis Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Sucic, Dimarco - Lautaro, M.Thuram. Coach Chivu.
The Betting Market
The price on Inter is 1.30, a bit lower than we'd like as it's a visiting game, but it reflects the probability accurately. Inter must win this; they're 4th and are falling behind in the scudetto race. If there's one thing Inter does well, it's beating inferior teams.
Over/Under is a matter of how many goals Inter will score, so Over 2.5 Goals for 1.72 seems a decent bet. Both Teams To Score: NO is the favoured option at 1.66.
The Betting Verdict
The flat track bully will find a new victim to beat with a large handicap. Pisa can't do much at all, so this match will played on their half for 90 minutes. Inter will have all the time in the world to score three goals or more. A bet on Asian Handicap -1.50 for 1.97 seems reasonable.
However, after seeing Acerbi in the starting lineup for Inter, we're even more confident the Over 2.5 Goals will go through as Pisa could contribute to the count.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Pisa 1-3 Inter
