Italian Serie A
2025-11-30 - AS Roma vs Napoli
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 13
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio, Italy (70,634)
Sunday, 30 November 2025, 20:45 CET
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Roma Team News
Other than a rare slip up such as the one against AC Milan, Roma has nothing but wins. It's incredible what a good coach can do to a team. This same side has been a mess season after season, and now, with a weaker roster than ever they're winning every week.
This particular game is a battle to retain the top spot, or at least it will be so if Milan beats Lazio on Saturday as then Roma would drop to the second spot.
In derbies, Roma has mixed success this season. They won a difficult battle against Lazio 1-0 where Lazio was perhaps the better side, they lost against both teams from Milano, and won against Fiorentina in Florenze 1-2.
Napoli Team News
The biggest news in Naples is that this team has suddenly found itself without midfield. Anguissa and Gilmour got injured, so now Antonio Conte has some serious selection worries. This means that wingbacks will likely play on the flanks in midfield, so we could see an even more defensive Napoli than usual.
Another important thing to note is that Napoli is finding it difficult to create good goalscoring chances, so this is why Rasmus Hojlund is seemingly underperforming, with only 2 goals in 8 apperances. He doesn't get the ball that much, and when he does it's not in a dangerous position.
Napoli, the defending champion, is currently 3rd on the league table, 2 points behind tonight's hosts Roma. Napoli can do it all here.
Probable Lineups
Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar - Hermoso, Mancini, Ndicka - Celik, Kone, El Aynaoui, Wesley - Cristante - Soule, Dybala. Coach Gasperini.
Napoli (3-4-2-1): Milinkovic-Savic - Beukema, Rrahmani, Buongiorno - Di Lorenzo, Lobotka, McTominay, Olivera - Neres, Lang - Hojlund. Coach Conte.
Conte will switch to a three-man defence in an attempt to patch up the midfield due to having only three proper midfielders available for selection. It could be a blessing in disguise.
The Betting Market
Roma is just a slight favourite at 2.68 while the price on Napoli is 3.15. Under 2.5 Goals is rightfully priced at 1.50 as this is likely a derby that will likely have a single goal in it. This means there's a lot of value in Both Teams To Score: NO for 1.70.
The Betting Verdict
Anything can happen in a derby, so it wouldn't be a surprise if Napoli won here. But we think Roma has a bigger chance to take the points, with their trademark 1-0 win, as Napoli is in a bad spot right now.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Roma 1-0 Napoli
