Italian Serie A
2026-01-04 - Lazio vs Napoli
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 1
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio, Italy (70,634)
Sunday, 04 January 2026, 12:30 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Lazio Team News
Lazio is in a limbo where they can't really win but they don't lose very often either. They only lost to Inter and Milan in their last ten appearances, yet on the other hand you would have lost money if you placed a bet on them to beat the likes of Cremonese, Pisa or Udinese. Also, an interesting fact is that three of Lazio's four recent wins came at home.
It only goes to show that all of Lazio's matches can go either way, and it takes a special effort to actually defeat this team. However, you don't really bet on Lazio to do well. They lack the offensive weapons.
Napoli Team News
Napoli finished the year with three straight 2-0 wins in all competitions that followed a 1-0 defeat in Udine in mid-December. The opponents were Milan and Bologna in the Super Cup and Cremonese in the league.
Generally, this is a stable side with a stable defence that is powered by one Antonio Conte. Napoli will, without a doubt, remain a scudetto candidate until the end, even if they're not the prime favourite to win it all.
Probable Lineups
Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel - Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini - Guendouzi, Cataldi, Basic - Isaksen, Noslin, Zaccagni. Coach Sarri.
Napoli (3-4-2-1): Milinkovic-Savic - Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Juan Jesus - Politano, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola - Neres, Elmas - Hojlund. Coach Conte.
Basic returns from suspension for Lazio. This will be a makeshift offensive trio without Castellanos, who's departing for West Ham, and Dia, who's on AFCON. Castallanos was the key figure here.
Napoli already got used to life without De Bruyne, Lukaku, Anguissa and Gilmour. The latter will be back soon.
The Betting Market
Napoli is favoured here, a lot. The price on the visitors is 2.32 and you can get 3.66 on the home side. Under 2.5 Goals is all but certain as the price is 1.50, while the Both Teams To Score: NO can get us significantly better odds of 1.66.
The Betting Verdict
There's a lot at stake for Napoli here. They need to win to keep being 1 point behind AC Milan in the best case, or to be 2 points behind Inter Milan in the worst case. Anything but a win here would mean Napoli would be trailing the league leader more than before the New Year.
We think Lazio will be toothless without Castellanos and the AFCON guys and that Napoli's defence will hold. The prices on Under 2.5 and BTTS-No are too short so we prefer a straight up win for the visitors.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Lazio 0-1 Napoli
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Napoli To Win at 2.32 at Bet365
