Italian Serie A

2026-01-06 - Lecce vs AS Roma

A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa

Lecce v AS Roma
Italy Serie A - Round 19
Stadio Via del mare, Lecce, Apulia, Italy (40,670)
Tuesday, 06 January 2026, 18:00 CET
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Lecce Team News

Lecce is coming off a 1-1 away result at Juventus, and the point was made possible by Jonathan David who missed a spot kick for 2-1 for Juventus. It's not like Lecce earned anything here, conceding 2.77 xG and posting an xG of only 0.26 themselves. In the previous round, Lecce lost 0-3 at home to Como and that's a result that's much more in sync with what Lecce is doing on the pitch.

Roma Team News

Roma first won 3-1 at home against Genoa but then suffered a major blow by losing to his old team Atalanta 1-0 in the derby of the previous Serie A round. This continues a season-long streak where Roma either wins or loses, either does well or does poorly. There's no middle ground with this side. Gasperini's intentions will either work like a charm or not work at all.

Recently, it's hot and cold, as Roma won two and lost four of the last six Serie A matches, so they're no longer considered a scudetto candidate as they descended to the 5th position, threatened by 6th-placed Como that has 3 points and one game less.

We've been saying for a while now that Roma is operating on really slim margins and that their 1-0 winning streak was unsustainable. That's exactly what happened. Expect Roma to keep winning most of their matches and to qualify for the Champions League in the end. The tactical mastermind that's leading this team will make sure of that despite the obvious limitations of the roster.

Things could change a lot if Roma brings in a proper striker. Joshua Zierkzee would be a seriously good fit. Gasperini himself said that Roma's inability to convert chances is "no coincidence". Expect this side to be active in the January transfer market.

Probable Lineups

Lecce (4-3-3): Falcone - Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo - Kaba, Ramadani, Maleh - Pierotti, Camarda, Banda. Coach Del Rosso (Di Francesco suspended).

Roma (3-4-2-1): Svilar - Celik, Hermoso, Mancini - Tsimikas, Cristante, Kone, Wesley - Dybala, Soule - Ferguson. Coach Gasperini.

Lecce is missing quite a few first team regulars. Berisha, Morente and Sottil are out while Coulibaly is at AFCON. Roma is supposed to line up with Ferguson up front and Dybala and Soule behind him.

The Betting Market

The price on Roma to win is 1.81, which is expected, and we're also getting an expected very low price on the Under of 1.61. Both Teams To Score: NO is priced at 1.66.

The Betting Verdict

If Roma is a hit or miss kind of team, then this particular fixture looks like a hit. Roma hasn't yet lost to a relegation candidate this season, and has shown an incredible progress in road performances under Gasperini. Roma can be trusted on the road now even if the bookmakers don't trust it yet. The only question is whether Roma will convert the chances.