Italian Serie A
2026-01-24 - Como vs Torino
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 22
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Lombardy, Italy (13,602)
Saturday, 24 January 2026, 15:00 CET
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Como Team News
We've been saying it for a while -- this side is going places. It took Como some time to learn how to actually win football games and not only play well, but they're like a very good student that can handle every challenge that you put before him.
The latest in a long line of invisible steps that Como has learned to climb is a 0-3 win at Lazio in the previous round, and now all of a sudden Como is 6th, 2 points behind Juventus, and not that far from Champions League spots.
Every year we get a team such as this, last year it was Bologna, now it's Como, and the difference seems to be that this team is continuously progressing towards where they want to be. They could join the big sides soon if they keep it up.
Torino Team News
Depending on how you look at it, Torino is either sinking or doing great. Points-wise they're not doing anything special, but when you look at the results - and if you know this team - then you'll notice that this team is winning far more often than usual.
In last eight matches in all competitions they have four wins and four losses, and we're far more used to seeing a side that wins only by accident. This is no longer the case. Cremonese, Sassuolo and Verona were beaten to nil in the league and Torino also won 2-3 against Roma in the cup.
Probable Lineups
Como (4-2-3-1): Butez - Smolcic, Carlos, Ramon, Valle - Perrone, Da Cunha - Baturina, Paz, Jesus Rodriguez - Douvikas. Coach Fabregas.
Torino (3-5-2): Israel - Ismajli, Tameze, Coco - Pedersen, Casadei, Ilkhan, Vlasic, Lazaro - Adams, Ngonge. Coach Baroni.
Smooth ball carrier Martin Baturina is announced in the starting lineup for Como. If he adapted to the demands of Italian football, the Paz-Baturina duo could do wonders in this league.
The Betting Market
It seems the days when we could get big prices on Como are now gone, as the price here is only 1.67, as if it's Torino that only recently arrived from Serie B, and not the other way around. We'd stay away from this price -- Como is not yet a confident favourite and Torino is known to spice things up when you least expect it.
An underish game is expected, with a price of 1.72, and we tend to agree. Como likes to strangle games with their short passing, and Torino only comes alive when the opponent allows it. Como won't allow it.
Both Teams To Score: NO is the favoured of the two possible outcomes with a price of 1.75, but we'd stay away. Torino can score anytime.
The Betting Verdict
With Torino you never know, they play a high-scoring game just because you placed a bet on the Under, and vice versa. It seems that the opponent is the key. If Como successfully manages to control the pace of this game it will be a slow one, and we're looking at a very pedestrian 90 minutes that will end 1-0 or 1-1.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Como 1-1 Torino
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Under 2.5 Goals at 1.72 at Bet365
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Now here is a game that MIGHT be a statistical anomaly, as my spreadsheet thinks that Como and Torino have a 41% chance of drawing this fixture based on ratings and 69 previous Serie A games.
Como are having a great season - for Como - and are sitting in 6th spot, but a home record of 5-4-1 and average performances against weak teams here in the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia raise the chances of a low scoring draw.
Torino are 14th in Serie A, and have lost 3 games in a row, they need to steady the ship or risk falling into a relegation fight and a point here against a top six side would do just nicely.
Draw prices are rising, you can get 3.75 at Bet365, 3.86 at CLoudbet, and +290 at Bookmaker.EU which is over 154% of EV and is the sort of bet I like.
Como are having a great season - for Como - and are sitting in 6th spot, but a home record of 5-4-1 and average performances against weak teams here in the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia raise the chances of a low scoring draw.
Torino are 14th in Serie A, and have lost 3 games in a row, they need to steady the ship or risk falling into a relegation fight and a point here against a top six side would do just nicely.
Draw prices are rising, you can get 3.75 at Bet365, 3.86 at CLoudbet, and +290 at Bookmaker.EU which is over 154% of EV and is the sort of bet I like.
