German Cup
2026-02-11 - Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: DFB Pokal Quarterfinal
Allianz Arena - Munich
Wednesday, 11th February 2026 - kickoff 20:45 CET
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich enters this quarterfinal as one of the favourites to go all the way in the DFB Pokal, and understandably so. They have been excellent this season and hold a strong position at the top of the Bundesliga, recently thumping TSG Hoffenheim 5‑1 with Harry Kane and Luis Diaz starring in the attack, giving them momentum and confidence heading into this cup tie.
The Allianz Arena stage gives Bayern Munich an advantage and adds pressure. They have a strong head‑to‑head record at home against RB Leipzig, winning the last three duels between these sides at this venue across competitions.
This season’s Bundesliga meetings also leaned Bayern Munich’s way; they beat RB Leipzig 6-0 at home last August and 1-5 in Leipzig, showcasing just how ruthlessly they can execute when things click.
Historically, goals flow when these two meet: over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last eight duels, and Bayern Munich have scored at least three in their last four encounters with the Red Bulls.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig’s journey to the quarter‑final hasn’t been as headline‑grabbing, but they have shown resilience in knockout football. Their cup pedigree is strong — RB Leipzig have won a significant majority of their last 30 DFB Pokal matches and are comfortable in high‑pressure, winner‑takes‑all scenarios.
RB Leipzig’s Bundesliga form has been inconsistent, but they still retain quality across the pitch and can hurt teams on the break. Their away form is respectable too — they have been unbeaten in nine of their last 11 away games and have racked up several wins on the road. Keeping the game tight in the first half and striking on transition could be RB Leipzig’s best path here.
However, limited recent success against Bayern Munich and defensive frailties when facing top attackers remain concerns. On current form, they tend to concede more than they’d like, especially against elite opposition.
The Betting Verdict
Bayern Munich has strong cup credentials, home advantage, and the recent psychological upper hand over RB Leipzig. The Bavarians have won their last three home matches against Leipzig and comfortably beaten them in league play this season.
Bayern Munich looks better equipped to assert control across 90 minutes, especially at the Allianz Arena.
I predict Bayern Munich will win in another match with quite a few goals.
The Pick :
Bayern Munich 3-2 RB Leipzig
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Bayern Munich to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.52 with 12Play Sports
