German Bundesliga
2026-05-09 - RB Leipzig vs St.Pauli
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Red Bull Arena – Leipzig
Saturday, 09th May 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
RB Leipzig
After winning 5 games in a row, RB Leipzig got demolished 4-1 by Bayer Leverkusen last week. Still, they remain third, and a win in this game would guarantee them a top-four finish.
Another motive for RB Leipzig is that a victory would bring them to 20 Bundesliga wins this season, their all-time best record.
RB Leipzig's final game of the season is a tricky away match against SC Freiburg, who chase the last European spot, so I believe RB Leipzig will push hard in this game to get the job done.
RB Leipzig have been excellent at home all season long, winning 11 of their 16 games so far. They are currently unbeaten in six at home, having won all four of their last games.
St.Pauli
St.Pauli are currently on the longest winless run in the Bundesliga, going for 8 straight matches.
They are second from the bottom in the Bundesliga, level on points with Wolfsburg but with a worse goal difference. As it stands, their final match of the season against Wolfsburg next week will decide who will drop automatically and who will play relegation playoff matches.
St.Pauli looked hopeless on the road this season, losing 11 of their 16 away games. More recently, they lost in 4 of their last 6 Bundesliga trips.
The Betting Verdict
St.Pauli are in awful form, winless in eight games, while a win here for RB Leipzig will seal their third spot and 20th win of the season (another record).
Given how poor St.Pauli are defensively, we should see some goals, so take RB Leipzig to win in a game with at least 3 goals scored.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
RB Leipzig 3-1 St.Pauli
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take RB Leipzig to win & over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.70 with BetFred
