German Bundesliga
2026-05-16 - Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Borussia Park – Mönchengladbach
Saturday, 16th May 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach was totally outplayed last weekend. They lost 3-1 to Augsburg and looked weak, passive, and uninterested.
Nothing to worry about, because they have 35 points and are perfectly safe, but still, the performance was awful in that game.
Bouncing back against TSG Hoffenheim seems unlikely, although you never know with Borussia Mönchengladbach.
They were excellent at home in recent weeks, going unbeaten in 6 home matches (3 wins, 3 draws), which kept them clear of the relegation zone.
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim defeated Werder Bremen 1-0 last week, extending their unbeaten streak to 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws).
Now, if they beat Borussia Mönchengladbach, TSG Hoffenheim will reach 64 points, which would be their best-ever point return in Bundesliga history. Their record is 62 points, set in 2017 under the current Germany national team coach Julian Nagelsmann.
TSG Hoffenheim is level on 61 points with fourth VfB Stuttgart. They need to achieve a better result than VfB Stuttgart’s against Eintracht Frankfurt, so we should expect them to be highly motivated.
The Betting Verdict
TSG Hoffenheim has 3 wins in the last 6 games against Borussia Mönchengladbach, and their 5-1 win in their first duel earlier in the season is TSG Hoffenheim’s highest victory this season.
Borussia Mönchengladbach looked without a will to play last week after previously securing their status. They should be better now, but I still don’t expect much from them.
Considering motives and form, back TSG Hoffenheim to win this game and possibly secure a UEFA Champions League spot for next season.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take TSG Hoffenheim to win at odds of 1.70 at BetFred
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
It's the last game of the season and Hoffenheim have the all motivation as they chase a Champions League spot and need to get a better result than 4th placed Stuttgart if they are going to sneak in.
But is a 1.70 bet really worth taking when Hoffenheim are only about 40% likely to to actually win this game in normal circumstances? Monchengladbach would also like to send their fans home happy too.
Borussia Monchengladbach are always a stronger side at home, they are 5-6-5 at Borussia Park this season and actually 3-3-0 in the last six games which includes a win against Dortmund and a draw against Leverkusen.
Doing the numbers I really like the price of 4.50 on the DRAW here, it's a common result in this fixture and the price is too high. A draw might be enough for Hoffenheim too if Stuttgart lose their game.
Take DRAW at 4.50 with Bet365, CLoudbet or +361 at Bookmaker.EU as a very +EV bet.
But is a 1.70 bet really worth taking when Hoffenheim are only about 40% likely to to actually win this game in normal circumstances? Monchengladbach would also like to send their fans home happy too.
Borussia Monchengladbach are always a stronger side at home, they are 5-6-5 at Borussia Park this season and actually 3-3-0 in the last six games which includes a win against Dortmund and a draw against Leverkusen.
Doing the numbers I really like the price of 4.50 on the DRAW here, it's a common result in this fixture and the price is too high. A draw might be enough for Hoffenheim too if Stuttgart lose their game.
Take DRAW at 4.50 with Bet365, CLoudbet or +361 at Bookmaker.EU as a very +EV bet.
