Catania Calcio v Bologna
Football: Italy, Serie A
Wednesday, 6th January 2010 - Kickoff 14:00

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Catania (19th) Home : 1-3-4 6:10

Catania have had a dismal season so far, with nine losses from the first 17 games, but the Sicilian's had a stunning result just before the winter break beating Juventus in Turin in the shock result of the season.

Catania Team News :
Catania should play a 4-3-2-1 formation with Taka Morimoto will be likely to be the lone striker. Giuseppe Mascara returns from suspension and should start.

Catania boss Sinisa Mihajlovic will be especially determined not to lose this match as he faces Bologna, the club that fired him late last season.

Catania :
Andujar
Alvarez, Silvestre, Spolli, Capuano
Ledesma, Carboni, Biagianti
Martinez, Mascara
Morimoto

Bologna (17th) Away : 0-3-5 5:12

Bologna travel to the Angelo Massimino stadium desperate to earn at least a point, and make sure that Catania stay well below them in the standings.

The Rossoblu have clinched just three points of a possible 24 on their travels and know they must improve away from home if they are to avoid the drop by season's end.

Bologna Team News :
Miguel Britos is banned for Bologna but he is no longer wanted at the club anyway. Bologna will play a 4-4-1-1 formation.

Bologna :
Viviano
Raggi, Moras, Portanova, Lanna
Casarini, Mudingayi, Guana, Valiani
Adailton
Di Vaio

The Betting Verdict :

In games like this, the Italian mentality seems to be to avoid defeat at all costs, rather than chase a season changing victory - and I expect to see both sides play just a lone striker upfront.

Both sides have had problem socring goals, and with this safety first approach it's no wonder why.

My statistics for Serie A suggest that games like this between two closely matched low-ranked sides will often end all square and any price above 3.00 should be taken.

The Statistics :

The Pick :

Catania 0-0 Bolgona

PERCENTAGE ESTIMATE :

Catania 43% - Draw 36% - Bolgona 21%

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

It's not a banker - but over the course of a season you'll see a good profit backing the DRAW in these sort of games.