GETAFE v DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA
Football : Spain : Primera
Saturday 5th February 2011

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After a stirring December which saw them steam up the table with four straight wins, the icy tracks of January have derailed the Getafe revival and they look very poor value to overcome Deportivo this weekend.

Despite regularly disappointing attendances, Madrids third team are a much better side for playing at home, but that hasnt stopped them losing three from three on their own patch. And to prove that losing can become a habit, they followed that run up with defeat at relegation threated Levante last time out.

One goal in four games against some limited opponents tells you everything you need to know about Getafes current problems.

The Odds suggest that they will right those wrongs and will take advantage of home field superiority and beat a Depor side who dont travel well and are in poor form themselves.

But odds on prices are untouchable for a side of this quality and form against a very similar side.

Deportivo themselves have limited appeal when considering form and away results, but they do have a win at Bilbao on their recent CV and their suffocating style can get them the odd decent result against limited opponents.

They also come into this game on the back of some tough fixtures, which provides limited excuses for their poor form.

They also have a good record at Getafe, having lost on only one of their last 6 visits and winning the last two.

This is going to be a battle of attrition between two sides lacking in resources and quality which could go either way. Getafe are the most likely winners but given their record against Depor and the prices on offer, Depor have to be the value call.

Yes, it takes a leap of faith to overlook the respective sides home and away form. But Deportivo look worth a try at a big price with draw insurance.

The Statistics :

The Pick :

Getafe 0 Depor 1

PERCENTAGE ESTIMATE :

Getafe 40% - Draw 30% - Depor 30%

FIXED ODDS BETTING :

Take Deportivo draw no bet at 3.5 (eurobet)