Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur football Betting Pick

Gambling advice by Cornholio covering the Icelandic Football match Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur.

Sections on this page :

▼ Betting Pick ▼ Match Analysis ▼ Forecast Score ▼ Match Report ▼ Support Our Site

Cornholio's Recommended Bet :

Main bet : Take Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 (Bet365) Side bet : Since I'm not very much into odds below 1.5 I'm also putting a bit on over 3.5 Goals @ 2.2 (Paddy Power)

Icelandic Football

2011-08-03 - Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur

A Sports Betting Pick by Cornholio

Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur
Football : Icelandic top league : Round 13
Wednesday August 3 2011, 19:15 (GMT)



This is a game between two teams who have both disappointed this season. The current champions have no chance of defending the title and the title candidates from Hafnarfjordur have no chances left for slip-ups.

Breidablik
(8th 4-3-5 20:24)


Breidablik's run this season makes you really wonder if their win last season was just a one time wonder. Even though, they lost their main goalscorer from last sesaon, Alfred Finnbogason, that alone can't explain their bad performance as the reigning champions.

Sitting in 8th with only 15 points from 12 games they could drop one seat lower if they fail to produce anything against FH Hafnarfjordur. The fact that Breidablik are long out of the title race and that it's highly unlikely they will be in any danger of relegating one has to wonder how their spirits are now since they don't really have anything to compete for.

After losing their last two games Breidablik's overall record is 4-3-5, 20:24. They have two major problems; terrible defense and and terrible away record. While being the second best at home with 4-1-1, 14:8, they are the worst on the road in the league with a horrible 0-2-4, 6:16.

Breidablik have not been able to keep a clean sheet in any of the 12 league games or their cup games. This means they have conceded the second most in the league, only 2 less goals than Grindavik.

After losing their away game against FH 1-4 in the reverse fixture earlier in the season, Breidablik will surely be aiming to use their strength at home to avenge for that defeat and get back to the upper part of the table.

Surely Breidablik is well able to beat FH Hafnarfjordur at home, at least they have the stats on their side. At home they have scored twice as much as on the road and conceded half the goals as they have when travelling.

FH Hafnarfjordur
(4th 5-4-3 26:18)


FH Hafnarfjordur are unstable. Just look at their run; WDLWWLWDDDWL. This is not good enough for a side aiming for the title battle.

FH mad a bad start last season but managed to climb up to the 2nd spot. However, their bad run has been a little longer this time and their time is running out. Since they have only lost 3 games they still have a small chance of turning their luck over since the champions over the last three years have lost 3-5 games over the season.

Still, these are only stats and the fact that KR Reykjavik still haven't lost a game makes it hard to believe any team catching up with them. But by beating Breidablik, FH could jump into 3rd place.

After producing a fine 3-2 win a man down against Valur in the last round FH's overall record is 5-4-3, 26:18. They are the strongest in the league at home with 4-2-0, 20:8, but weaker on the road with 1-2-3, 6:10. This fact must be worrying for them visiting the second strongest home team in the league.

FH can surely score goals but their defense could be better and its slow tempo could be troublesome against Breidablik's great attack. Also one must notice that FH have only scored 6 of their 26 goals on the road.

Failing to grab all three points here could very well be the end of FH's title hopes since KR are on such a great run. With this in mind FH will surely take a risk forward knowing that Breidablik's defense isn't the strongest one.

Head to head


2011: FH Hafnarfjordur - Breidablik 4-1
2010: FH - Breidablik 1-1
2010: Breidablik - FH 1-2 CUP
2010: Breidablik - FH 2-0
2009: FH - Breidablik 2-1
2009: Breidablik - FH 2-3
2008: FH - Breidablik 3-0
2008: Breidablik - FH 4-1
2007: Breidablik - FH 4-3
2007: FH - Breidablik 3-1 CUP
2007: FH - Breidablik 2-1
2006: FH - Breidablik 1-1
2006: Breidablik - FH 1-1

So FH have been taking a little advantage over the past few years as it seems.

The Betting Verdict


This is a very hard call. With Breidablik so strong at home and FH Hafnarfjordur on the weaker side away it's fair to conlude that the former might even be the favorites here.

But the head to head lately and the sides positions in the table point to the other way around. Therefore, Breidablik should only be given a small edge here and poor value should not be taken.

Remember that FH really has to win this game to keep up with the top battle. On the other hand, Breidablik can't afford to drop points here if they are to have any hopes at all of climbing into a european spot.

With this in mind I'm not touching the 1x2 here but instead looking at total goals. Breidablik can't keep a clean sheet and it's not likely they will start to against a good attacking side like FH, even though FH aren't scoring a lot on the road. 9 of 12 Breidablik's games have gone over 2.5.

Adding to this is the fact that 8 of 12 FH's games have also went over 2.5. With this in mind and the ability of both teams to score it's hard to see anything else than at least 3-4 goals.

BEST BETTING TIP :

Main bet :
Take Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 (Bet365)

Side bet :
Since I'm not very much into odds below 1.5 I'm also putting a bit on over 3.5 Goals @ 2.2 (Paddy Power)


BEST BETTING SITE FOR YOUR LOCATION

UNKNOWN


Who is YOUR favourite bookmaker or Sportsbook ?

  Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur Match Report :

FINAL SCORE :

Breidablik
0-1
FH Hafnarfjordur


See match Report



⚽ GoonersGuide Betting Notes Read the latest issue or subscribe free →
A short weekly email highlighting betting angles and lines we think the market may have mispriced.