Paris St Germain v Valencia Champions League betting preview played on 2013-03-06
Paris St Germain v Valencia

Paris St Germain                 Champions League BETTING PREVIEW - Paris St Germain
v Valencia

Paris St Germain v Valencia betting tips Paris St Germain v Valencia betting bonus Paris St Germain v Valencia Betting Preview by Auls | Champions League | 2013-03-06 | Champions League betting preview Paris St Germain v Valencia sports betting pick
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Paris St Germain v Valencia Betting Intro
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Paris St Germain v Valencia

Paris St Germain v Valencia

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Champions League

2013-03-06 - Paris St Germain v Valencia

A Sports Betting Preview by Auls

Paris St Germain v Valencia
Football: European Champions League
Wednesday 6 March 2013 - Kick Off 7:45pm
This game is live on TV


Paris St Germain


There were a few stand out performances from the first legs in the Champions League, but Paris St Germain's performance and result at Valencia was right up there with the best of them. It looked like being a very impressive result, but a last minute goal from Valencia means the tie is still open as Paris hold a 2-1 lead.

It may have been down to this game and the anticipation of it that saw Paris St Germain lose 1-0 at Reims on Saturday night and that means they are only 2 points clear of Lyon in the chase for the title. PSG have also taken to the Champions League very effectively this season and have won all 3 home games they have played in the Group Stage and they have won 5 straight games in the competition since a 1-0 loss at Porto.

Since winning in Valencia, Paris St Germain have lost 2 of their last 4 games in all competitions, but their home form has remained very steady. Paris have won 5 in a row at home in all competitions and they have won 9 of their last 10 in front of their own fans while remaining unbeaten since the middle of November.

Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Marco Verratti are both suspended for the home team in this game. Thiago Silva is still absent, while David Beckham is expected to make a start for his new club.

Valencia


Over the last few seasons, Valencia have been a solid feature in the Champions League but one that has rarely looked like threatening to win the trophy. Since the glory days of the early part of the 21st Century, Valencia have struggled to beat the best teams in Europe and this is going to be a real test for them to overturn the one goal deficit as they need to score at least twice in Paris.

The side are also in for a real fight in La Liga to get back into the Champions League next season with a number of clubs fighting for the fourth place behind Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid. Valencia finished with a 2-0-1 record in the Group Stage away from home, but fans will point to their poor record at some of the bigger clubs in recent seasons.

Valencia's home loss to Paris St Germain is the only defeat they have suffered in their last 8 games in all competitions. They have only lost 1 of their last 8 away games in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 3 since a loss at Real Madrid. Valencia had won 2 of those games before a 2-2 draw at Real Zaragoza in their last away game.

Ricardo Costa and Adil Rami are both going to be missing for this game.

Head to Head


This is the first time Paris St Germain and Valencia will be meeting at the Parc de Princes in a competitive game.

Prediction


I know Paris St Germain are missing their talisman up front, but they still have enough talent in their team to see off Valencia in this one. However, under-estimating a solid Spanish team is never a good thing and I don't want to back Paris St Germain to win this game at odds on.

That is mainly because Paris don't have to win this game to go through and that is the ultimate objective of every team. So I can't see Paris pushing for a win if the game is 1-1 with a 15 minutes left to play...

In saying that, I still think Paris are the more likely winners and I think it may make more sense to back the home side to score at least 2 goals at a bigger price than them to win the game. There is a chance that Valencia would be caught on the counter if they are chasing the game and Paris have scored at least two goals in all of their Champions League home games and also in 4 of their last 5 home games overall.

Valencia also do concede goals and Paris could take advantage of that so backing them to score at least twice is the call for me.

The Statistics :

PARIS_SG LAST SIX HOME FORM
Paris_SG DATE   RESULT OPPOSITION
2012-12-04  W 2-1   H v Porto  
2012-11-06  W 4-0   H v Dinamo_Zagreb  
2012-09-18  W 4-1   H v Dynamo_Kyiv  
2004-12-07  L 1-3   H v CSKA_Moscow  
2004-10-20  W 2-0   H v Porto  
2004-09-14  L 0-3   H v Chelsea  

VALENCIA LAST SIX AWAY FORM
Valencia DATE   RESULT OPPOSITION
2012-12-05  W 0-1   A v Lille  
2012-10-23  W 0-3   A v BATE_Borisov  
2012-09-19  L 2-1   A v Bayern_Munchen  
2011-12-06  L 3-0   A v Chelsea  
2011-10-19  L 2-1   A v Leverkusen  
2011-09-13  D 0-0   A v Genk  

HEAD TO HEAD PARIS_SG v VALENCIA
DATE   HOME SCORE   AWAY


The Pick :

Paris St Germain 2-1 Valencia


FIXED ODDS BETTING :

I'll back Paris St Germain Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2.00 (Coral)



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Paris St Germain v Valencia Betting Odds guide

Handicap BETS

PSG
H/C
VAL
BET365
1.83Score 1.5+3.40
LADBROKES
1.83Score 1.5+3.20
PINNACLE
1.94Score 1.5+
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Champions League betting preview for Paris St Germain v Valencia | Played on 2013-03-06 | Analysis & sportsbook lines

Champions League betting preview for Paris St Germain v Valencia | Played on 2013-03-06 | Analysis & sportsbook lines