Uruguay vs Paraguay Betting Pick | World Cup

World Cup

2013-03-22 - Uruguay vs Paraguay

A Sports Betting Pick by Auls

Uruguay v Paraguay
Football: World Cup 2014 Qualifier
Friday 22 March 2013 - Kick Off 10pm

Preview

With Brazil hosting the World Cup, it does seem the South American qualifiers are a little more open this time around and only Argentina can really feel comfortable in their current position.

Surprisingly, Uruguay are currently not in one of the top four automatic qualifying positions as they do have a lot of talent on paper. They have only picked up 12 points from their first 9 games in the Group and that means they are level with Venezuela and Chile in terms of points, but behind Venezuela on goal difference.

Much of the South American nations rely on their home form when it comes to qualifiers and Uruguay have proved to be no different. 11 of their 12 points have been picked up in front of their own fans and that increases the importance of picking up three points with a trip to Chile coming up for them on Tuesday.

The home fans will be expectant as their nation is hosting Paraguay, currently bottom of the qualifying Group with just 7 points earned and with 6 losses from their 9 games. Paraguay did win their last game against Chile to give themselves a chance to get back into a position to qualify, but their away record has been terrible so far.

Paraguay have lost all 5 away games they have played in the Group, and all 5 of them have come by at least 2 goals. The 2-0 loss in Peru to open the Group set the tone and they have only managed to score 2 goals in their 5 away games in the section up to this point.

Head to Head

Uruguay have won their last 2 home games against Paraguay and they also recorded a 3-0 win over them in the Copa America in 2011 in Argentina.

Paraguay have failed to win any of their last 3 games against Uruguay.

Prediction

Uruguay have hit 4 goals in 3 of their 5 home games in the qualifiers so far and I think they are going to have too much firepower for Paraguay in this game too.

I think they can overwhelm their opponents and become the latest side to win by at least 2 goals at home against Paraguay in this one.

The Statistics :

URUGUAY LAST SIX HOME FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2012-09-11	D	1-1	H v Ecuador
	2012-06-10	W	4-2	H v Peru
	2012-06-02	D	1-1	H v Venezuela
	2011-11-11	W	4-0	H v Chile
	2011-10-07	W	4-2	H v Bolivia
	2009-10-14	L	0-1	H v Argentina

PARAGUAY LAST SIX AWAY FORM
	DATE	RESULT		OPPOSITION
	2012-10-12	L	2-0	A v Colombia
	2012-09-07	L	3-1	A v Argentina
	2012-06-09	L	3-1	A v Bolivia
	2011-11-16	L	2-0	A v Chile
	2011-10-08	L	2-0	A v Peru
	2009-10-10	W	1-2	A v Venezuela