Greek League
2007-01-13 - Egaleo vs Apollon
A Sports Betting Pick by Egaleo_City
This seems like a perfect chance for Egaleo to take advantage of Apollon fatigue and convert this into a three-pointer which will bring them closer to Uefa zone.EGALEO
Last week Egaleo tried to earn something from the match against Panathinaikos, especially in the first half when they had their fair share of chances, but in the end they fell to the bigger opponent.
They come into this match knowing that they have to take full advantage of their home ground as 10 teams (!), from spot 6 to 15, are only 4 points apart so any loss can prove disastrous.
For this match striker Petropoulos will be absent as well as midfielders Maric and Manousakis, but none of those players are key to the squad. Main striker Agritis is back from injury but i don't know if he'll be used and main defender Psomas is back as well.
Apollon Kalamarias
Apollon played a knockout cup match on Wednesday against Panathinaikos and they were clearly the ones that deserved to qualify.
With double final attempts than their opponents they shouldn't have let the game go to extra time and penalty shootout, but football is no fair game and Panathinaikos is in the next round.
For that game they mainly have to recover from the fatigue, as greek teams are not used to play 3 matches in less than a week's time, and especially with a stressful 120-minute game in the middle.
They will miss midfielder Murawski and probably some players, but i suppose no more than a couple, are not going to start and be brought on later on if needed.
HEAD TO HEAD
Past results show a clear trend for draw and under. And while i think that the second is higly probable to happen again i have my doubts on the first.
On the other hand with such a tradition on a high paying result as the draw you may want to give it a shot.
Egaleo:Apollon Kalamarias 0:0 26.02.2006
Apollon Kalamarias:Egaleo 0:0 15.10.2005
Apollon Kalamarias:Egaleo 1:1 26.02.2005
Egaleo:Apollon Kalamarias 0:0 24.10.2004
FIRST ROUND MATCH
In the first round match Egaleo got away with a 1:0 victory and even though it came with an own goal it was a fair result as they were the better team.
VERDICT
It's going to be full defense here for Apollon as their main target will be to control the game and go away with one point.
Egaleo created some good chances against Panathinaikos and i think they will do the same in that game.
If it wasn't for the midweek game of Apollon which took the players to their limits I would go with the tradition and propose the draw, but now i have to give the edge to Egaleo.
Home win is offered around 1.8 but you can take Egaleo -0.5 AH for 1.825 at bet365.
Most bookies are well prepared for the under possibility and offer this to 1.50 which is low but fair.
An excellent option is Egaleo to win 1:0 at 6.5 at interwetten as most Egaleo wins are by 1 goal and i think they will concede none tomorrow.
BEST BETTING TIP :
Highest price for Egaleo win is -0.5 AH @ 1.825 at bet365An excellent value lies in Egaleo 1-0 @ 6.50 at Interwetten
