Italian Serie A
2025-09-20 - Hellas Verona vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 4
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona, Veneto, Italy (31,045)
Saturday, 20 September 2025, 18:00 CET
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Verona Team News
Verona should have really won the 0-0 match at home against Cremonese as they kept the visitors quiet and posted 1.46 xG themselves, with 20 shots, 9 of them on target. Stats show a clear home win yet the final result does not.
This isn't a defensive side that will fall back and defend now when facing a big favourite. However, these matches are all one-way streets. In last eleven meetings with big Italian sides, Verona lost ten of them to nil. The only exception was a 1-0 home win against Fiorentina. The 2024/25 trend continued into this season with a 4-0 defeat to Lazio in Rome.
Juventus Team News
It doesn't come as a surprise to us here that Juventus has three wins out of three in Serie A, and it won't be a surprise when they win here to make it four out of four.
What surprised everyone, though, is Juventus' propensity for playing seven- or eight-goal action thrillers. After winning 4-3 against Inter in the league, they were trailing at home against Borussia Dortmund 2-4 deep into injury time, yet managed to score twice to take a point with 4-4. Wow.
In every game, Juventus has at least seven or eight dangerous long shots from the edge of the box, and players who have surgical precision to execute them. Igor Tudor might have found a cheat code for football. Yet this side remains incredibly casual at blocking opponents' long shots from the edge of the box. Hence the goals on both ends.
Fans of the 2000's era of football - which is all of us who were alive at the time - should watch a Juventus game in 2025. Kenan Yildiz is no Alessandro Del Piero, no one is, but he's darn close. And Dusan Vlahovic is one amazing forward. Last season, at age 22, Vlahovic was criticised for not being able to create chances out of nothing and score them too. Now, in a creative team, he's thriving.
Juventus is the prime scudetto candidate.
Probable Lineups
Verona (3-5-2): Montipo - Nunez, Nelsson, Frese - Belghali, Serdar, Akpa-Akpro, Bernede, Bradaric - Giovane, Orban. Coach Zanetti.
Juventus (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio - Kalulu, Gatti, Cabal - Joao Mario, Locatelli, Thuram, Cambiaso - David, Yildiz - Vlahovic. Coach Tudor.
There are no significant changes announced for Juventus but there will surely be rotation compared to the probable lineup quoted above. No one knows but Tudor.
The Betting Market
The bookmakers have noticed Juventus is on a tear so they're offering only around 1.55 on Bianconeri here, whereas we had 1.84 last season (0-3) and 1.70 the season before (2-2).
But they obviously didn't get the memo that Juventus can score at will. Over 2.5 Goals is miraculously priced at 2.20. Must be because of the BTTS-Yes of 2.25, so the logic goes that Juventus won't score three.
Why wouldn't they? They just scored four against Inter and four against Borussia.
The Betting Verdict
Just take whatever price you can on Juventus to win this if you're looking for bankers. 1.56 is good enough, it goes up to 1.60 at some obscure bookmakers. Even with expected rotation, with somewhat tired legs, and with expected reduction in tempo now when playing a minnow, Juventus is still a clear favourite to win this one easily.
With the Over/Under odds set all wrong, Over 1.5 Goals becomes a brilliant bet. Pair it with the Juventus win using the Bet365 Bet Builder and your price will go up to 2.00.
For what it's worth, you can also get Juventus to Win To Nil at 2.20 if you think Verona's lose-to-nil trend against big sides will continue. We wouldn't bet on Juventus defence to hold against anyone at this point though.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Verona 1-3 Juventus
