Italian Serie A
2025-10-04 - Inter Milan vs Cremonese
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 7
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano, Lombardy, Italy (80,018)
Saturday, 04 October 2025, 18:00 CET
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Inter Team News
Inter looks unstoppable again. That's what you get when you're a side that's actually perfectly suited to defeating minnows, if you only put in the effort. Ajax, Sassuolo, Cagliari and Slavia Prague were defeated with a combined score of 9-1. Inter's position in the Champions League is as expected but in Serie A this side only has 3-0-2. Milan, Napoli, Roma and Juventus are still no more than three points away so nothing is lost - Inter just needs to enter a winning streak. After this game they will play Roma, Napoli and Fiorentina in succession, in addition to the Royale Union SG match in late October.
Cremonese Team News
A defensive side through and through, Cremonese is perfectly happy if they manage to gather points one by one, like they did in the last three rounds. Incredibly, in case you missed it, Cremonese is still undefeated - one of three such sides in Serie A - and is tied at 9 points with Inter and Atalanta.
We can't yet notice any trends with Cremonese as it's too soon, it's just that their confident defending is for real. They'll fizzle out sooner or later but for now we can still expect spirited and courageous performances. Even on Giuseppe Meazza.
Probable Lineups
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Akanji, Acerbi, Bastoni - Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Sucic, Carlos Augusto - Lautaro, Bonny. Coach Chivu.
Cremonese (3-5-2): Silvestri - F.Terracciano, Baschirotto, Bianchetti - Floriani, Bondo, Grassi, Payero, Zerbin - Sanabria, Vazquez. Coach Nicola.
It seems Inter will rest at least one of the Lautaro/Thuram dynamic duo, which more often than not results in toothless gameplay until the other one is subbed in.
The Betting Market
The price on Inter to win is 1.20 or less, which means that we only have several options available. The first one is to consider this a banker that gets you easy 20% profit. Generally not an advisable get rich quick strategy.
The other one is to decide if Inter will win by a huge handicap, or not. The bookmakers are quite good at what they do so they'll give you a price of 1.58 on Inter to win by at least two goals, and 1.53 on Cremonese +2.5. Either way, you get a shaky bet at a low price.
The Over 2.5 Goals seems a bit underpriced at 1.50, but it allows for a reasonable bet to be made on Under 3.5 Goals at 1.62. Four goals are always a lot in any football game.
The Betting Verdict
Inter played seven matches this season and almost all of them were high-scoring. However, despite the goals pouring freely, only two of those seven matches saw 4+ goals - the 5-0 win against Torino and the 4-3 defeat against Juventus.
Cremonese, on the other hand, has already shown they can hold their own in this league and defend with success. They conceded one goal in the last three rounds, and famously only conceded once to Milan in the 1-2 opening day win.
We're not saying Cremonese will keep this game tight, but what we are saying is that this isn't a team that will easily lose 4-0. Hence the bet on Under 3.5.
In 2022/23, Inter won both meetings, 3-1 at home and 1-2 on the road, making Both Teams To Score: YES a seemingly attractive bet today - but not for the offered price of 2.10.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Inter 2-0 Cremonese
