German Bundesliga
2025-11-30 - SC Freiburg vs Mainz
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Europa Park Stadion – Freiburg
Sunday, 30th November 2025 - kickoff 19:30 CET
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg come into this game in mixed form. They have only won once in their last six Bundesliga matches (three draws, two defeats), and were involved in European action last Thursday, playing a goalless draw away at Viktoria Plzen.
The extra midweek fixture might leave them a bit fatigued, although that wasn’t a particularly intense Europa League game.
At home, SC Freiburg have been more reliable - unbeaten in four consecutive Bundesliga matches at the Europa Park Stadion, with two wins and two draws. That home consistency will be key against a Mainz side that has struggled on the road this season.
Mainz
Mainz are really struggling right now. They haven’t won in seven consecutive Bundesliga matches, drawing 1-1 with TSG Hoffenheim last weekend and losing 1-0 in Europe to Universitatea Craiova midweek.
Their form away from home is particularly concerning: Mainz’s only league win this season came on the road at Augsburg, and they suffered three straight defeats in their most recent three away matches.
Also, Mainz have never won at the Europa Park Stadion in Freiburg, drawing three times and losing once in their four trips there.
Mainz’s games have been light on goals recently, with under 2.5 goals in their last three Bundesliga games, reflecting both attacking struggles and a cautious mindset.
The Betting Verdict
History and current form strongly favor SC Freiburg. They are unbeaten in eight Bundesliga matches against Mainz (six wins, two draws) and have the confidence of solid home performances to back them up.
Mainz’s long winless run and poor away record suggest they’ll struggle to break through.
I expect SC Freiburg to control the game and edge it, likely a 1-0 or 2-0 home win, with Mainz potentially frustratingly stubborn but ultimately unable to find the breakthrough.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
SC Freiburg 1-0 Mainz
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take SC Freiburg to win at odds of 1.95 with BetFred
