German Bundesliga
2025-11-29 - Bayern Munich vs St.Pauli
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
Allianz Arena – Munich
Saturday, 29th November 2025 - kickoff 15:30 CET
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich come into this one slightly stung after their 18-match unbeaten run in all competitions was snapped at Arsenal midweek, losing 3–1 in the Champions League.
It’s not a result that will derail anything domestically, but it does remind you that even this Bayern Munich side, which has been rolling through the Bundesliga, can have an off night.
And their Bundesliga record… well, it’s ridiculous. Ten wins, one draw, a goal difference of +33 after 11 matchdays — statistically the best start any club has ever made at this point in the season.
The Bavarians are scoring for fun: at least two goals in 19 straight Bundesliga matches, and every one of their last 12 league games has gone over 2.5 goals. When Bayern Munich get going, you are basically watching wave after wave of attacks.
Harry Kane continues to be the top player. The timing of his movement, the link-up play, the finishing - it all fits perfectly into how Bayern want to play. With the way St.Pauli defend right now, Kane will smell blood.
St.Pauli
St. Pauli are in a completely different world at the moment. Eight straight league defeats, six of those without scoring, and not a single point away from Hamburg all season.
Their entire tally of seven points came in the first three games — Borussia Dortmund (3–3), Augsburg (2–1) and a big win away at Hamburger SV (2–0). Since then, the drop-off has been steep.
They’re struggling to create chances, struggling to keep the ball, and whenever they fall behind, they seem to lose structure quickly.
Visiting the Allianz Arena in this kind of form is as tough as it gets. If they want to survive this, they’ll have to sit deep, hope for a chaotic moment, and try to keep the scoreline under control, which is easier said than done against the most ruthless attack in the Bundesliga.
The Betting Verdict
There’s no mystery here — Bayern Munich should win, and win comfortably. The gap in quality, confidence, form, and depth is enormous right now.
With Bayern Munich’s goal output and St.Pauli’s defensive issues, this feels like one-way traffic unless Bayern have a complete meltdown.
Odds are microscopic on Bayern Munich, which is understandable. But one bet stands out to me – Harry Kane to score twice or more!
He’s in the kind of form (and facing the kind of opponent) where a multi-goal performance feels more likely than not.
That’s my main betting recommendation here, but if you want some extras, you can also find perhaps some value in Bayern Munich to score 3 or more, Bayern Munich -2 handicap, or a combo bet of Bayern Munich to win & over 3.5 goals.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Bayern Munich 5-0 St.Pauli
FIXED ODDS BETTING TIP :
Take Harry Kane to score 2 or more goals at odds of 2.63 with Bet365
