Italian Serie A
2025-12-28 - Atalanta vs Inter Milan
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 17
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Bergamo, Lombardy, Italy (21,747)
Sunday, 28 December 2025, 20:45 CET
Free live streaming at Bet365. Funded account required.
Atalanta Team News
Atalanta is enjoying a purple patch recently, since Gianluca Scamacca was installed as the centre forward in an otherwise toothless offense. This is when things started going well and, with the exception of an unexplainable defeat to Verona, Atalanta has nothing but wins, both in Serie A and in the Champions League. Unlike Inter, Atalanta didn't have to travel anywhere last week, they stayed home with no Super Cup action for them.
Atalanta isn't a truly big team, this is just a side that has quality forwards and midfielders, so they can do well when the opponent lets them play their brand of football. Due to a lot of draws earlier in the season when Ivan Juric was the coach, Atalanta is only 9th, but they'll climb the table soon enough.
Inter Team News
Other than the recent defeat to city rivals AC Milan, and the usual setbacks whenever they meet a strong side such as Atletico Madrid or Liverpool, Inter has nothing but wins. They return from Super Cup action with a defeat to Bologna, so now they're determined to make their mark on the league once again.
Many teams have topped the Serie A table so far - Napoli, Roma, AC Milan - but now it's Inter's again and as you'll see at Bet365 this side is the most serious title candidate, with a price of 1.67 to win it all.
Probable Lineups
Atalanta (3-4-2-1): Carnesecchi - De Roon, Hien, Kolasinac - Zappacosta, Pasalic, Ederson, Bernasconi - De Ketelaere, Maldini - Scamacca. Coach Palladino.
Inter (3-5-2): Sommer - Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni - Diouf, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco - Lautaro, Thuram. Coach Chivu.
Atalanta is without Lookman and Kossounou, who are on AFCON.
The Betting Market
Inter is the favourite but the price is a bit higher than usual in this fixture, 2.07. This is because Inter is a bit weaker than in previous seasons - though still the dominant force in the league - and Atalanta is witnessing a resurgence lately.
Inter won against Atalanta the last eight times when these sides met, so the 2.07 is a decent price if you think the streak will keep going.
Both Teams To Score: YES is priced at only 1.61 but we get 1.80 on Over 2.5 Goals.
The Betting Verdict
This derby usually always has goals in it, it's just a matter of which of the two bets do you prefer. The price on BTTS-Yes is too low, and we know Inter can beat anyone 3-0, so Over 2.5 Goals would be a better bet of the two.
However, without Ademola Lookman we know Atalanta will be significantly weaker in offense. Lookman is the key player here. This is why there's a lot of value in that price on Inter, and that will be our official bet. Inter could win this easier than usual.
The Pick :
Atalanta 1-2 Inter
