Italian Serie A
2026-01-06 - Sassuolo vs Juventus
A Sports Betting Pick by Cafa
Italy Serie A - Round 19
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Emilia-Romagna, Italy (21,525)
Tuesday, 06 January 2026, 20:45 CET
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Sassuolo Team News
The continued absence of Domenico Berardi is hurting Sassuolo and now they can no longer beat anyone - one win in last seven - though they still manage to find a way to score and they usually stay undefeated.
Sassuolo doesn't concede much because of their habit of defending deep, so it's rare to see them concede twice. On the other end, they always find a way to score.
Juventus Team News
The winning streak Juventus was in - four matches in all competions and seven out of eight - was halted by Jonathan David missing a penalty kick for 2-1 against Lecce, so the score remained 1-1.
Juventus was dominant but yet again failed to convert the chances. We've seen it many times before, and this kind of stuff is indicative of a team that doesn't have a proper forward.
Vlahovic is injured, David isn't a good fit for this league, and Openda who once was the most attractive prospect in Europe is now not showing much on the pitch.
Expect Juventus to keep playing well and creating chances, but they will often let you down because of the simple fact that they sometimes couldn't score even if the match lasted for 180 minutes.
Juventus only has three handicap wins in this Serie A season. This is because they usually are in a desperate hunt for that winning goal, and are not thrashing any opponent.
Probable Lineups
Sassuolo (4-3-3): Muric - Walukiewicz, Idzes, Muharemovic, Doig - Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone - Fadere, Pinamonti, Lauriente. Coach Grosso.
Juventus (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio - Kalulu, Bremer, Koopmeiners - Cambiaso, Locatelli, Thuram, Kostic - McKennie, Yildiz - David. Coach Spalletti.
Sassuolo will now play with 2/3 of their starting offensive trio as Pinamonti returns from a brief spell on the sidelines. The main ingredient, Berardi, is still out for another month.
Juventus will keep playing with Koopmeiners in defence. Vlahovic and Conceicao are out.
The Betting Market
The price on Juventus is 1.77 but as we already know, whenever Juventus is in this situation it's a matter of whether they'll manage to score for 2-1 or not. They don't win these fixtures in a dominant fashion, ergo, one does not bet on Juventus.
Both Teams To Score: YES, on the other hand, is a winning bet whenever Juventus plays a side from the bottom half. It is priced at 1.80 here.
Despite that being the favoured option, the Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 2.00, with 1.80 for the Under. It's the Over that has value as 3+ goals is the more likely option. Both sides will score, and a third goal will come. It's Sassuolo.
The Betting Verdict
Juventus To Win is the worst bet of the three, Over 2.5 Goals is a decent punt, and the best value stems from BTTS-Yes. Juventus always concedes, Sassuolo always scores.
This will be a 1-1 at the very minimum.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take Both Teams To Score: YES at 1.80 at Bet365
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
A quick one while the price on the draw has climbed to 3.80+ as my spreadsheet is indicating a "value bet" on the DRAW.
It's a cliche but the SERIE A is the most likely league to throw up a draw in any game, running at 29% draws in each of the last three seasons.
While neither Sassuolo (Home 3-2-4 11:11) or Juventus (Away 4-2-3 9:8) are particularly draw heavy in their results - the lack of goals scored or conceded suggest a draw is very possible when both sides are averaging 1 goal.
Prices of 3.80 at Bet365, 3.90 at CLoudbet, and +294 at Bookmaker.EU (jurisdiction rules mean different bookmakers for different regions) are all +EV and worth a wee value bet.
It's a cliche but the SERIE A is the most likely league to throw up a draw in any game, running at 29% draws in each of the last three seasons.
While neither Sassuolo (Home 3-2-4 11:11) or Juventus (Away 4-2-3 9:8) are particularly draw heavy in their results - the lack of goals scored or conceded suggest a draw is very possible when both sides are averaging 1 goal.
Prices of 3.80 at Bet365, 3.90 at CLoudbet, and +294 at Bookmaker.EU (jurisdiction rules mean different bookmakers for different regions) are all +EV and worth a wee value bet.
