German Bundesliga
2026-04-18 - TSG Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
PreZero Arena – Sinsheim
Saturday, 18th April 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim
It looks like TSG Hoffenheim got scared of playing in the UEFA Champions League next season.
They are now winless in four (two draws, two defeats), sitting five points behind the UEFA Champions League qualification spots.
TSG Hoffenheim played a good last game against Augsburg, coming back from a 2-0 down to earn a point in a 2-2 draw.
Even though they are winless in four, TSG Hoffenheim now have a 9-point advantage over seventh Eintracht Frankfurt, which means European football is almost guaranteed for them.
Most of TSG Hoffenheim’s games in recent months involved a lot of goals, with 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga games ending with 3+ goals.
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund lost 0-1 to Bayer Leverkusen last week, their first defeat after four straight Bundesliga victories. Despite that, they firmly hold on to the second spot, with an 8-point advantage over third and fourth.
Catching Bayern Munich is impossible with five games left, so these last five games of the season will serve just to confirm their second position.
Borussia Dortmund has played well on the road lately, going unbeaten in their last six away games, winning four of the last five trips.
The Betting Verdict
Borussia Dortmund have been very dominant against TSG Hoffenheim in recent seasons, beating them at HT/FT in 6 of their last 8 duels.
However, I am not so sure they’ll dominate them again this weekend. First, they relaxed a little, and second, TSG Hoffenheim is not the same below-average side they were in recent seasons.
It’s a risky game to bet on a winner, but goals look guaranteed, considering the way of play of both sides. Take over 2.5 goals to be scored in the match.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
TSG Hoffenheim 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.50 at Bet365
