German Bundesliga
2026-09-12 - TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
A Sports Betting Pick by Niko
Football; Germany: Bundesliga
SNP Arena – Sinsheim
Saturday, 12th September 2026 - kickoff 15:30 CET
TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim have lost both Bundesliga matches despite scoring first in each. They led Köln 1-2 before losing 3-2, then took the lead against Borussia Dortmund through Ozan Kabak before eventually going down 3-2 again. That leaves Christian Ilzer's side pointless despite scoring four goals.
They have started the season with back-to-back defeats for the first time in 11 years, so there is slight pressure on TSG Hoffenheim to finally grab a point, at least.
The attacking numbers offer some encouragement. TSG Hoffenheim attacked a lot in their first two games, making a dozen shots in each game. However, their defensive line proved to be quite weak.
Two players currently unavailable to play for TSG Hoffenheim are Alexander Prass and Fisnik Asllani.
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart responded to their heavy 5-1 defeat by Bayern Munich by putting four past Köln. They were already 2-0 up before half-time and eventually ran out 4-1 winners, earning their first Bundesliga points of the season.
Last Wednesday, VfB Stuttgart produced another stellar performance in the UEFA Champions League, beating Norwegian champions Viking 3-1 at home, with their striker Ermedin Demirovic scoring a hat-trick in the first half of the match.
Regarding VfB Stuttgart’s recent meetings with TSG Hoffenheim, they have all been tight.
All four of their last four duels ended in draws, including the 3-3 draw in May when TSG Hoffenheim led 3-1 before VfB Stuttgart rescued a point with a stoppage-time equalizer.
VfB Stuttgart have therefore avoided defeat in their last five against TSG Hoffenheim, although their wider away record is less convincing. VfB Stuttgart have won just once away in their last 8 Bundesliga trips, which is another thing to consider.
The Betting Verdict
Picking a winner is tricky here. TSG Hoffenheim have scored in both games despite losing both, while VfB Stuttgart have already conceded five to Bayern Munich but then exploded by scoring four against Köln and three against Viking.
Perhaps there is value in going with the draw here, as all their last four Bundesliga duels across the past two seasons ended level.
However, I am going with goals again, as both sides are scoring freely, and their defenses are still not at their best.
A combo bet of both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is my main bet in this match.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
TSG Hoffenheim 2-2 VfB Stuttgart
BEST BETTING TIP :
Take BTTS & Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.53 with BetFred
