MLB Baseball
2011-08-16 - New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals
A Sports Betting Pick by Addicted
Baseball : North America : MLB
Monday, August 15th, 2011, 8:10PM US
(1:10AM GMT)
PREVIEW
This bet was a winner last night and I see no reason to change it.
The New York Yankees send out right-handed Ivan Nova, who is on a great run. He is 11-4 with a 3.85ERA. Nova has won his last 3 starts, and is 7-0 in his last 8 starts with 1 no-decision. In his last start, Nova gave up 3 runs on just 5 hits in 6 innings.
The last time Nova got hammered, it was by Kansas City, as they tagged him for 8 runs in just 3 innings.
The Kansas City Royals counter with Danny Duffy. The southpaw is 3-6 with a 4.97ERA and comes into this having allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in 7 innings against Tampa Bay. There are concerns about his pitching, as he tends to not last 6 innings on average and that is due to a high pitch count, which is basically a direct result of a pitcher dealing with control issues.
Duffy is a rookie, and has never faced New York. Normally a pitcher would be at an advantage if the opposing offence hasn't seen him, but with New York scoring the 2nd highest runs in the entire MLB, I wouldn't expect Duffy to get out unscathed tonight.
Just like last night, I expect the Kansas City bullpen to get hammered when they come in, which will be early as Duffy will likely leave earlier than normal, again.
TEAM STATS
New York Yankees
Overall 73-46, Streak W2
Kansas City Royals
Overall 50-72, Streak L3
BETTING VERDICT
The Yankees won by a bunch last night and look sure to add to their 639 runs so far. With the New York outfit scoring at least 6 runs in all but 1 of their last 5 matches I would expect to see them pick up right where they left off last night, especially since they're facing a southpaw, who they score more against.
The Pick :
New York Yankees
Gooner’s Statistical Value Bet
Take the New York Yankees -1.5AH @ 1.92 (Pinnacle)
