Italian Serie A
2012-02-05 - Lecce vs Bologna
A Sports Betting Pick by Mercurio
Football : Italy : Serie A
Sunday 5th February 2012 - Kickoff 2pm
Lecce (18th)
SEASON : 4-4-13 22:38 16 pts
Lecce's surprise home win over Inter Milan last weekend was their first home win of the season - and that should boost the confidence heading into this relegation battle.
A loss away at Udinese in midweek was not a great result - but Lecce are playing at home now, and the fans should help the team.
Lecce Team News :
We should see Cuadrado back in midfield, as manager Cosmi tries to recover Blasi and Carrozieri. Esposito could play with a protective mask for the face.
In midfield claim space Bertolacci. Possible debut for Bojinov but probably he will start from the bench.
Probable Lecce Lineup : 3-5-2 :
Oddo, Miglionico, Tomovic,
Cuadrado, Obodo, Giacomazzi, Delvecchio, Brivio,
Muriel, Di Michele
Bologna (16th)
SEASON : 5-6-9 18:26 21 pts
Bologna comes into this match on the back of a four match unbeaten streak, including two away draws at Napoli and AS Roma.
Bologna’s midweek clash with Fiorentina was postponed due to the adverse conditions affecting the north of Italy, the unexpected rest will be a boost to their physical preparation.
Bologna Team News :
Bologna coach Pioli can not count on Pulzetti and Kone with both players unavailable.
In midfield will see Garics on the right wing, while on the left we have a ballot between Rubin and Morleo.
In forward the fantasy duet Diamanti-Ramirez in support of striker Di Vaio. Acquafresca will sit on the bench.
Probable Bologna Lineup : 3-4-2-1:
Raggi, Portanova, Antonsson,
Garics, Perez, Mudingayi, Rubin,
Diamanti, Ramirez,
Di Vaio
The betting verdict
People usually love watching big matches - and some might say why this guy preview this kind of match?
Believe me Italians teams that are battling relegation usually make a higher effort and are well worth taking a betting look.
I love these sort of matches where there is a lot on the line because both team play with heart .
My experience about these games in Italy are based on 2 sentences:
1) the team that have more motivations will win.
2) the team at home is in advantage, especially if is in the south.
So this match is a clear home win to me.
Lecce is in a good form (they won against Inter last Sunday), Quadrado and Muriel run like mad, DiMichele is fast and unpredictable also. Bologna's defenders are slowing down and I think Lecce can score one goal more than Bologna.
Bologna's Di Vaio (36 years old) is not the same of last season and Ramirez is returning from a long break and will take time to find form.
I expect Lecce to win by 1 goal margin.
The Statistics :
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The Pick :
Lecce 1-0 Bologna (or 2-1)
