Greek League
2006-11-25 - Egaleo vs AEK Athens
A Sports Betting Pick by Egaleo_City
For the 12th matchday of the Greek SuperLeague Egaleo host midweek Champions League triumphants AEK, in what might seem an easy game for the away team, but Egaleo have always been a hard opponent for AEK.EGALEO
Egaleo in the last three matches, with one draw and two losses, managed to ruin what they have built with hard work until that time.
They still lay at the 5th position of the table but with much less difference than the teams below and i'm pretty sure they wont hold long there. The reason they haven't recorded a win since 29.10 against Xanthi is simple : the team enters the field with a defensive mentality targeting for the draw and not with a winner mentality.
For the game against AEK two important players come back to the squad, after their one match suspension for yellow cards, main striker Agritis and key midfielder Skopelitis.
Everyone knows that this game will be very difficult and Egaleo home ground isn't quite the fortress it used to be with a 2-2-2 home record this season.
AEK
AEK had a quite slow start in the season with 3 draws but since then they are a true steamroller and have managed to have the best offensive line in the league.
Midweek they managed a difficult,lucky but nevertheless well deserved victory over Milan that makes them favourites to qualify for the next stage in CL.
The morale in the team is really high and with no key players missing AEK will try to win this one and stay only 3 points away from leaders Olympiacos.
I believe that the main opponent for AEK in this match is not Egaleo but the loss of focus and concentration that such a big win, like that over Milan, may cause to a team especially when they lack really experienced players.
AEK hold a 2-2-1 record away from home.
HEAD TO HEAD
Excluding the season 2001-2002 when Egaleo cam back to the first league, in all other cases the matches between the two teams were close with Egaleo managing to take 4 draws in 8 matches.
Egaleo - AEK 0:2 04.02.2006
AEK - Egaleo 1:1 18.09.2005
AEK - Egaleo 1:0 23.01.2005
Egaleo - AEK 1:1 19.09.2004
AEK - Egaleo 2:2 11.01.2004
Egaleo - AEK 0:1 23.08.2003
AEK - Egaleo 3:2 26.01.2003
Egaleo - AEK 1:1 24.08.2002
Egaleo - AEK 1:3 10.02.2002
AEK - Egaleo 4:0 30.09.2001
VERDICT
This will not be easy but anyway i believe it will be a victory for AEK. They have more options in the offence, they have a high morale and at the time being they are the most in-form team in Greece.
Egaleo will try to defend and this will be the doom of them once again, because if you don't try hard to create some chances you are destined to concede and lose.
Don't go for the UNDER in that game as a scoreline of 1-2 is not over the top.
AEK can be found at 1.60 to win, a rather low price mainly due to to midweek CL victory, still it's a decent price on them due to their form.
(The game is live and free on ERTSAT, HOTBIRD 13o East)
